Recent forecasts from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models point to a highest temperature of 18–20°C in Helsinki on July 23, aligning with the tightly clustered market probabilities near those values. Mild northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies are limiting strong daytime solar heating and warm-air advection from the south, while Baltic Sea surface temperatures near seasonal norms moderate coastal maxima. Minor model differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between 18°C and 20°C outcomes, with little support for extremes above 22°C or below 17°C under current synoptic patterns. Updated high-resolution runs expected in the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於赫爾辛基7月23日的最高溫度?
20°C 33%
19°C 30%
21°C 19%
18°C 14%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C
30%
20°C
33%
21°C
19%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C或更高
<1%
20°C 33%
19°C 30%
21°C 19%
18°C 14%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C
30%
20°C
33%
21°C
19%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models point to a highest temperature of 18–20°C in Helsinki on July 23, aligning with the tightly clustered market probabilities near those values. Mild northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies are limiting strong daytime solar heating and warm-air advection from the south, while Baltic Sea surface temperatures near seasonal norms moderate coastal maxima. Minor model differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread between 18°C and 20°C outcomes, with little support for extremes above 22°C or below 17°C under current synoptic patterns. Updated high-resolution runs expected in the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions