Forecast models for Shanghai on July 23 project overnight lows clustered around 26–29°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and residual summer monsoon moisture, with thundershowers expected to limit clear-sky radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Historical July climatology places average lows near 26–28°C, while current conditions show high humidity and urban heat-island effects that reduce overnight temperature drops. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 27–29°C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, which can alter boundary-layer mixing and surface heat retention by several degrees. New model runs and official updates from regional meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月23日上海最低溫度?
27°C 36%
28°C 34%
29°C 24%
30°C 5.0%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
36%
28°C
34%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
27°C 36%
28°C 34%
29°C 24%
30°C 5.0%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
36%
28°C
34%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for Shanghai on July 23 project overnight lows clustered around 26–29°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and residual summer monsoon moisture, with thundershowers expected to limit clear-sky radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Historical July climatology places average lows near 26–28°C, while current conditions show high humidity and urban heat-island effects that reduce overnight temperature drops. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 27–29°C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, which can alter boundary-layer mixing and surface heat retention by several degrees. New model runs and official updates from regional meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions