Trader sentiment clusters around 33–35°C for Wuhan's July 21 high because short-range models show peak afternoon temperatures in that narrow band under typical subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity near 70–80% and potential isolated thunderstorms or increased cloud cover from a passing trough could suppress insolation and prevent the mercury from reaching 36°C or higher, while clear intervals and light winds might allow readings to top 34°C. Historical July climatology places average highs near 34–35°C, with daily variability driven by the balance between solar heating and convective cooling. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, incorporating latest radar and satellite data, will refine whether the maximum stays capped near 33°C or pushes into the upper 30s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月21日武漢氣溫最高?
33°C 29%
34°C 29%
32°C 15%
35°C 12%
$26,590 交易量
$26,590 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
15%
33°C
29%
34°C
29%
35°C
12%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 29%
34°C 29%
32°C 15%
35°C 12%
$26,590 交易量
$26,590 交易量
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
15%
33°C
29%
34°C
29%
35°C
12%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment clusters around 33–35°C for Wuhan's July 21 high because short-range models show peak afternoon temperatures in that narrow band under typical subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity near 70–80% and potential isolated thunderstorms or increased cloud cover from a passing trough could suppress insolation and prevent the mercury from reaching 36°C or higher, while clear intervals and light winds might allow readings to top 34°C. Historical July climatology places average highs near 34–35°C, with daily variability driven by the balance between solar heating and convective cooling. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, incorporating latest radar and satellite data, will refine whether the maximum stays capped near 33°C or pushes into the upper 30s.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions