Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC project Wuhan's July 20 maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and isolated shower chances, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for the 33°C and 34°C-or-higher brackets. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak July insolation typically supports highs in the 32–35°C range, though boundary-layer humidity, timing of any convective clouds, and precise steering of warm air masses introduce spread across ensemble runs. Recent short-range updates have kept consensus anchored near these values rather than the monthly climatological potential for 35°C-plus episodes, with traders monitoring final model iterations and official station observations through the weekend for resolution signals on the exact daily peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月20日武漢氣溫最高?
34°C或以上 56%
33°C 25%
32°C 15%
31°C 11%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
11%
32°C
15%
33°C
25%
34°C或以上
56%
34°C或以上 56%
33°C 25%
32°C 15%
31°C 11%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
11%
32°C
15%
33°C
25%
34°C或以上
56%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC project Wuhan's July 20 maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds and isolated shower chances, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for the 33°C and 34°C-or-higher brackets. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak July insolation typically supports highs in the 32–35°C range, though boundary-layer humidity, timing of any convective clouds, and precise steering of warm air masses introduce spread across ensemble runs. Recent short-range updates have kept consensus anchored near these values rather than the monthly climatological potential for 35°C-plus episodes, with traders monitoring final model iterations and official station observations through the weekend for resolution signals on the exact daily peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions