Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on July 23, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those levels. Persistent above-average warmth this summer, driven by high-pressure patterns and southerly flow, has kept nighttime temperatures elevated, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or wind could trim a degree or allow slight radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for this short-range outlook, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded at central London stations. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against typical July minima near 15°C when assigning the near-even odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月23日倫敦的最低溫度？
7月23日倫敦的最低溫度？
16°C 35%
17°C 31%
18°C 17%
15°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
11%
16°C
35%
17°C
31%
18°C
17%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C或以上
<1%
16°C 35%
17°C 31%
18°C 17%
15°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
11°C或以下
$32 交易量
<1%
12°C
$18 交易量
1%
13°C
$20 交易量
1%
14°C
$5 交易量
8%
15°C
$14 交易量
11%
16°C
$25 交易量
35%
17°C
$0 交易量
31%
18°C
$5 交易量
17%
19°C
$32 交易量
2%
20°C
$32 交易量
1%
21°C或以上
$76 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on July 23, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those levels. Persistent above-average warmth this summer, driven by high-pressure patterns and southerly flow, has kept nighttime temperatures elevated, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or wind could trim a degree or allow slight radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for this short-range outlook, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded at central London stations. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against typical July minima near 15°C when assigning the near-even odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$260結束日期
2026-07-23市場開放時間
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on July 23, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those levels. Persistent above-average warmth this summer, driven by high-pressure patterns and southerly flow, has kept nighttime temperatures elevated, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or wind could trim a degree or allow slight radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for this short-range outlook, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded at central London stations. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against typical July minima near 15°C when assigning the near-even odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$260結束日期
2026-07-23市場開放時間
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance points to a minimum temperature near 16–17°C in London on July 23, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities around those levels. Persistent above-average warmth this summer, driven by high-pressure patterns and southerly flow, has kept nighttime temperatures elevated, though subtle shifts in cloud cover or wind could trim a degree or allow slight radiative cooling. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread for this short-range outlook, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded at central London stations. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against typical July minima near 15°C when assigning the near-even odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions