Forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF currently indicate a broad high-pressure ridge over southern England through July 23, supporting daytime maxima centered in the mid-20s Celsius for London. Ensemble spreads produce closely matched probabilities for 24°C and 25°C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind speeds can shift the peak by 1–2°C. The urban heat-island effect adds further variability, with central stations often recording 1–3°C above rural sites under clear, light-wind conditions. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月23日倫敦的最高溫度?
25°C 39%
26°C 31%
24°C 18%
27°C 8%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
18%
25°C
39%
26°C
31%
27°C
8%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 39%
26°C 31%
24°C 18%
27°C 8%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
18%
25°C
39%
26°C
31%
27°C
8%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF currently indicate a broad high-pressure ridge over southern England through July 23, supporting daytime maxima centered in the mid-20s Celsius for London. Ensemble spreads produce closely matched probabilities for 24°C and 25°C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind speeds can shift the peak by 1–2°C. The urban heat-island effect adds further variability, with central stations often recording 1–3°C above rural sites under clear, light-wind conditions. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions