Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月24日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
7月24日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
31°C 29%
30°C 22%
32°C 20%
33°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
22%
31°C
29%
32°C
20%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
1%
31°C 29%
30°C 22%
32°C 20%
33°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
25°C或以下
$5 交易量
<1%
26°C
$20 交易量
1%
27°C
$20 交易量
1%
28°C
$61 交易量
8%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C
$0 交易量
22%
31°C
$0 交易量
29%
32°C
$10 交易量
20%
33°C
$68 交易量
14%
34°C
$17 交易量
2%
35°C或以上
$104 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$305結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$305結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTrader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C for Manila’s July 24 high, reflecting substantial short-range forecast uncertainty driven by the southwest monsoon. Variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and southwesterly flow strength—key controls on surface heating and evaporative cooling—produce divergent model outputs for solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture. PAGASA climatology places late-July means near 31°C, yet daily deviations hinge on monsoon trough position and any passing tropical disturbances. Updated global and regional model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution as observational data constrain precipitation and wind forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions