Recent numerical weather prediction models from global ensembles show consensus building around a daily maximum near 39–40°C in Chengdu on July 24, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the subtropics under a strengthening subtropical high. This setup favors strong daytime heating over the Sichuan Basin, amplified by urban heat-island effects and limited cloud cover. Ensemble spread remains modest but widens at the tails, reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and local wind patterns that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF are expected within the next 24 hours and will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the 48-hour forecast horizon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月24日成都最高溫度？
7月24日成都最高溫度？
39°C 32%
40°C 25%
41°C 24%
43°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
35°C or below
1%
36°C
4%
37°C
11%
38°C
14%
39°C
32%
40°C
25%
41°C
24%
42°C
15%
43°C
19%
44°C
8%
45°C or higher
1%
39°C 32%
40°C 25%
41°C 24%
43°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
35°C or below
$151 交易量
1%
36°C
$38 交易量
4%
37°C
$10 交易量
11%
38°C
$5 交易量
14%
39°C
$14 交易量
32%
40°C
$0 交易量
25%
41°C
$0 交易量
24%
42°C
$328 交易量
15%
43°C
$42 交易量
19%
44°C
$20 交易量
8%
45°C or higher
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from global ensembles show consensus building around a daily maximum near 39–40°C in Chengdu on July 24, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the subtropics under a strengthening subtropical high. This setup favors strong daytime heating over the Sichuan Basin, amplified by urban heat-island effects and limited cloud cover. Ensemble spread remains modest but widens at the tails, reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and local wind patterns that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF are expected within the next 24 hours and will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the 48-hour forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$621結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from global ensembles show consensus building around a daily maximum near 39–40°C in Chengdu on July 24, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the subtropics under a strengthening subtropical high. This setup favors strong daytime heating over the Sichuan Basin, amplified by urban heat-island effects and limited cloud cover. Ensemble spread remains modest but widens at the tails, reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and local wind patterns that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF are expected within the next 24 hours and will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the 48-hour forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$621結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from global ensembles show consensus building around a daily maximum near 39–40°C in Chengdu on July 24, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the subtropics under a strengthening subtropical high. This setup favors strong daytime heating over the Sichuan Basin, amplified by urban heat-island effects and limited cloud cover. Ensemble spread remains modest but widens at the tails, reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and local wind patterns that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF are expected within the next 24 hours and will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the 48-hour forecast horizon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions