Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Seoul's July 24 minimum temperature will likely fall between 24–25°C under continued East Asian monsoon conditions, with frequent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity moderating overnight cooling. These factors suppress radiative heat loss, keeping early-morning lows near the seasonal average rather than allowing sharper drops. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 23–26°C because small differences in forecast timing of rainfall or wind speed can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C, while broader uncertainty in mesoscale model runs and the two-day forecast horizon sustains the even distribution of probabilities. Historical July data show comparable variability driven by similar synoptic patterns.