Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月23日聖保羅的最高溫度？
7月23日聖保羅的最高溫度？
21°C 41%
22°C 24%
20°C 20%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
20%
21°C
41%
22°C
24%
23°C
11%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 41%
22°C 24%
20°C 20%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-23
17°C or below
$144 交易量
1%
18°C
$97 交易量
1%
19°C
$261 交易量
3%
20°C
$471 交易量
20%
21°C
$3,262 交易量
41%
22°C
$234 交易量
24%
23°C
$306 交易量
11%
24°C
$273 交易量
4%
25°C
$172 交易量
1%
26°C
$131 交易量
1%
27°C or higher
$2,272 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
交易量
$7,625結束日期
2026-07-23市場開放時間
Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,625結束日期
2026-07-23市場開放時間
Jul 21, 2026, 9:01 PM ETTrader consensus in the Sao Paulo July 23 highest-temperature market clusters around 21–22°C because numerical weather models and climatological baselines for the Southern Hemisphere winter consistently project daytime maxima near these values under stable high-pressure conditions typical of the dry season. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the timing and strength of any passing cold fronts, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects measured at official INMET stations, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. With probabilities spread across a narrow band, traders are weighting the modest uncertainty range inherent in short-range model runs against historical July averages of roughly 21–23°C and the absence of strong warming signals in current guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions