Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's overnight low on July 25 will likely settle near 23–25 °C amid peak East Asian monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from incoming showers limit nighttime radiative cooling, while light winds and high dew points support minimum temperatures in this range rather than deeper cooling. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 22–24 °C, but active monsoon flow this week introduces variability that keeps 20 °C or below a plausible secondary outcome if heavier rain arrives overnight. Traders weigh these factors against model consensus, with upcoming 48-hour forecast updates from KMA poised to refine the implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月25日首爾最低溫度?
25°C 47%
24°C 32%
23°C 13%
26°C 7%
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
32%
25°C
47%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C或更高
<1%
25°C 47%
24°C 32%
23°C 13%
26°C 7%
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
32%
25°C
47%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's overnight low on July 25 will likely settle near 23–25 °C amid peak East Asian monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from incoming showers limit nighttime radiative cooling, while light winds and high dew points support minimum temperatures in this range rather than deeper cooling. Historical July climatology shows average lows of 22–24 °C, but active monsoon flow this week introduces variability that keeps 20 °C or below a plausible secondary outcome if heavier rain arrives overnight. Traders weigh these factors against model consensus, with upcoming 48-hour forecast updates from KMA poised to refine the implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions