Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models indicate persistent monsoon influence over Karachi through July 25, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, light drizzle potential, and sea-breeze moderation keeping daytime highs near 30–32°C. These conditions suppress peak temperatures by limiting insolation and promoting evaporative cooling amid high humidity. Historical July averages hover around 33°C, yet current guidance and recent daily observations (e.g., 30–32°C range) tilt toward the lower bins. Market-implied odds favoring 33–35°C reflect trader weighting of climatological baselines and uncertainty in exact monsoon timing or clearing, while lower-probability outcomes account for potential brief breaks allowing modest warming. Updated PMD briefings and model runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月25日卡拉奇的最高溫度?
34°C 42%
33°C 25%
35°C 25%
36°C 7%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
25%
34°C
42%
35°C
25%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C或以上
1%
34°C 42%
33°C 25%
35°C 25%
36°C 7%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
25%
34°C
42%
35°C
25%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 23, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models indicate persistent monsoon influence over Karachi through July 25, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, light drizzle potential, and sea-breeze moderation keeping daytime highs near 30–32°C. These conditions suppress peak temperatures by limiting insolation and promoting evaporative cooling amid high humidity. Historical July averages hover around 33°C, yet current guidance and recent daily observations (e.g., 30–32°C range) tilt toward the lower bins. Market-implied odds favoring 33–35°C reflect trader weighting of climatological baselines and uncertainty in exact monsoon timing or clearing, while lower-probability outcomes account for potential brief breaks allowing modest warming. Updated PMD briefings and model runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on official station maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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