Recent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models point to a daily maximum near 20°C in Helsinki on July 25, with 19–21°C outcomes holding the bulk of market-implied probability due to modest ensemble spread. Key drivers include variable low-level cloud cover reducing insolation, weak southerly advection of slightly warmer Baltic air, and the potential timing of a weak frontal passage that could cap or boost afternoon temperatures by 1–2°C. July climatology places the average high near 21°C, so current conditions sit close to seasonal norms while model disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and radiative effects sustains the tight clustering around the central bins. Updated runs from national weather services in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於赫爾辛基7月25日的最高溫度?
20°C 38%
21°C 27%
19°C 20%
22°C 14%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
20%
20°C
38%
21°C
27%
22°C
14%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C或更高
<1%
20°C 38%
21°C 27%
19°C 20%
22°C 14%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
20%
20°C
38%
21°C
27%
22°C
14%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models point to a daily maximum near 20°C in Helsinki on July 25, with 19–21°C outcomes holding the bulk of market-implied probability due to modest ensemble spread. Key drivers include variable low-level cloud cover reducing insolation, weak southerly advection of slightly warmer Baltic air, and the potential timing of a weak frontal passage that could cap or boost afternoon temperatures by 1–2°C. July climatology places the average high near 21°C, so current conditions sit close to seasonal norms while model disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and radiative effects sustains the tight clustering around the central bins. Updated runs from national weather services in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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