Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows in Paris on July 25 will likely settle between 15–18 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, with minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high near 28–30 °C. Light northeasterly flow and typical urban heat-island effects limit further drops, while the absence of strong high pressure or incoming Atlantic fronts keeps the range narrow. Trader consensus clusters on 16 °C and 17 °C because ensemble spreads show roughly equal probability of the minimum registering just above or below 16.5 °C; small revisions in dew-point or wind forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution between these adjacent bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月25日巴黎最低溫度?
16°C 29%
15°C 27%
17°C 27%
14°C 12%
13°C或以下
1%
14°C
12%
15°C
27%
16°C
29%
17°C
27%
18°C
12%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C或以上
<1%
16°C 29%
15°C 27%
17°C 27%
14°C 12%
13°C或以下
1%
14°C
12%
15°C
27%
16°C
29%
17°C
27%
18°C
12%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows in Paris on July 25 will likely settle between 15–18 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, with minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high near 28–30 °C. Light northeasterly flow and typical urban heat-island effects limit further drops, while the absence of strong high pressure or incoming Atlantic fronts keeps the range narrow. Trader consensus clusters on 16 °C and 17 °C because ensemble spreads show roughly equal probability of the minimum registering just above or below 16.5 °C; small revisions in dew-point or wind forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution between these adjacent bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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