Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs of 33–35°C in Taipei on July 25 amid typical midsummer humidity and scattered afternoon showers, keeping the market’s tight contest between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely matched. Recent model consensus and observational trends show above-normal warmth consistent with seasonal baselines, while variable cloud cover and convective rainfall introduce uncertainty that caps upside risk for 37°C or higher. Traders weigh these factors against the narrow historical range of July maxima, with fresh CWA guidance and regional model updates expected before resolution to clarify steering patterns and peak readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月25日臺北氣溫最高?
35°C 30%
34°C 25%
36°C 18%
33°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
12%
34°C
25%
35°C
30%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
12%
35°C 30%
34°C 25%
36°C 18%
33°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
12%
34°C
25%
35°C
30%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration point to daytime highs of 33–35°C in Taipei on July 25 amid typical midsummer humidity and scattered afternoon showers, keeping the market’s tight contest between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes closely matched. Recent model consensus and observational trends show above-normal warmth consistent with seasonal baselines, while variable cloud cover and convective rainfall introduce uncertainty that caps upside risk for 37°C or higher. Traders weigh these factors against the narrow historical range of July maxima, with fresh CWA guidance and regional model updates expected before resolution to clarify steering patterns and peak readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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