Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei point to daytime maxima in the 33–36°C range on July 24, with model consensus split on whether afternoon heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies pushes the official reading to 35°C or 36°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and urban heat island effects, favor strong diurnal warming, while typical monsoon-season convective clouds or isolated thunderstorms could limit the peak by a degree or two. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts materially alter the daily maximum measured at official stations. Updated CWA briefings and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月24日臺北氣溫最高？
7月24日臺北氣溫最高？
35°C 35%
36°C 31%
34°C 17%
37°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
17%
35°C
35%
36°C
31%
37°C
15%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 35%
36°C 31%
34°C 17%
37°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
29°C or below
$23 交易量
<1%
30°C
$23 交易量
<1%
31°C
$59 交易量
2%
32°C
$258 交易量
3%
33°C
$58 交易量
3%
34°C
$39 交易量
17%
35°C
$79 交易量
35%
36°C
$54 交易量
31%
37°C
$65 交易量
15%
38°C
$93 交易量
4%
39°C or higher
$149 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei point to daytime maxima in the 33–36°C range on July 24, with model consensus split on whether afternoon heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies pushes the official reading to 35°C or 36°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and urban heat island effects, favor strong diurnal warming, while typical monsoon-season convective clouds or isolated thunderstorms could limit the peak by a degree or two. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts materially alter the daily maximum measured at official stations. Updated CWA briefings and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$899結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei point to daytime maxima in the 33–36°C range on July 24, with model consensus split on whether afternoon heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies pushes the official reading to 35°C or 36°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and urban heat island effects, favor strong diurnal warming, while typical monsoon-season convective clouds or isolated thunderstorms could limit the peak by a degree or two. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts materially alter the daily maximum measured at official stations. Updated CWA briefings and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$899結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei point to daytime maxima in the 33–36°C range on July 24, with model consensus split on whether afternoon heating under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies pushes the official reading to 35°C or 36°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and urban heat island effects, favor strong diurnal warming, while typical monsoon-season convective clouds or isolated thunderstorms could limit the peak by a degree or two. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small differences in timing of any showers or wind shifts materially alter the daily maximum measured at official stations. Updated CWA briefings and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions