Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on July 22 centers on official Central Weather Administration guidance showing a forecast high near 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 40-60% chance of afternoon thundershowers. Ensemble model runs exhibit modest spread due to typical July variability in monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 35°C and 36°C outcomes closely matched at 28% and 23% implied probability. Recent typhoon activity earlier in the month has left residual moisture that could either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on exact cloud timing, while climatological baselines place late-July maxima around 33–34°C with occasional excursions above 35°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution between these two leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月22日臺北氣溫最高？
7月22日臺北氣溫最高？
35°C 36%
36°C 32%
34°C 13%
37°C or higher 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-22
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
13%
35°C
36%
36°C
32%
37°C or higher
13%
35°C 36%
36°C 32%
34°C 13%
37°C or higher 13%
最新
最新
2026-07-22
27°C or below
$116 交易量
<1%
28°C
$112 交易量
<1%
29°C
$113 交易量
<1%
30°C
$530 交易量
<1%
31°C
$550 交易量
1%
32°C
$383 交易量
1%
33°C
$386 交易量
4%
34°C
$379 交易量
13%
35°C
$6,025 交易量
36%
36°C
$661 交易量
32%
37°C or higher
$570 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on July 22 centers on official Central Weather Administration guidance showing a forecast high near 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 40-60% chance of afternoon thundershowers. Ensemble model runs exhibit modest spread due to typical July variability in monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 35°C and 36°C outcomes closely matched at 28% and 23% implied probability. Recent typhoon activity earlier in the month has left residual moisture that could either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on exact cloud timing, while climatological baselines place late-July maxima around 33–34°C with occasional excursions above 35°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution between these two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$9,823結束日期
2026-07-22市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on July 22 centers on official Central Weather Administration guidance showing a forecast high near 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 40-60% chance of afternoon thundershowers. Ensemble model runs exhibit modest spread due to typical July variability in monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 35°C and 36°C outcomes closely matched at 28% and 23% implied probability. Recent typhoon activity earlier in the month has left residual moisture that could either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on exact cloud timing, while climatological baselines place late-July maxima around 33–34°C with occasional excursions above 35°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution between these two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,823結束日期
2026-07-22市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader sentiment for Taipei’s peak temperature on July 22 centers on official Central Weather Administration guidance showing a forecast high near 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with a 40-60% chance of afternoon thundershowers. Ensemble model runs exhibit modest spread due to typical July variability in monsoon moisture and urban heat retention, keeping 35°C and 36°C outcomes closely matched at 28% and 23% implied probability. Recent typhoon activity earlier in the month has left residual moisture that could either suppress or enhance daytime heating depending on exact cloud timing, while climatological baselines place late-July maxima around 33–34°C with occasional excursions above 35°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution between these two leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions