Current forecast guidance for Shanghai on July 27 shows overnight lows centered near 27–29 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors preventing sharper drops, while any increase in cloud cover or localized showers could nudge the minimum toward 26 °C or below. Recent model consensus from extended July outlooks and short-range guidance supports this narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines where July lows average 25–28 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and regional model runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月27日上海最低溫度？
7月27日上海最低溫度？
30°C 26%
31°C 22%
28°C 22%
23°C或以下 20%
最新
最新
2026-07-27
23°C或以下
20%
24°C
14%
25°C
12%
26°C
14%
27°C
19%
28°C
22%
29°C
18%
30°C
26%
31°C
22%
32°C
11%
33°C或以上
14%
30°C 26%
31°C 22%
28°C 22%
23°C或以下 20%
最新
最新
2026-07-27
23°C或以下
$22 交易量
20%
24°C
$27 交易量
14%
25°C
$0 交易量
12%
26°C
$0 交易量
14%
27°C
$0 交易量
19%
28°C
$0 交易量
22%
29°C
$0 交易量
18%
30°C
$27 交易量
26%
31°C
$27 交易量
22%
32°C
$22 交易量
11%
33°C或以上
$22 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance for Shanghai on July 27 shows overnight lows centered near 27–29 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors preventing sharper drops, while any increase in cloud cover or localized showers could nudge the minimum toward 26 °C or below. Recent model consensus from extended July outlooks and short-range guidance supports this narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines where July lows average 25–28 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and regional model runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$146結束日期
2026-07-27市場開放時間
Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance for Shanghai on July 27 shows overnight lows centered near 27–29 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors preventing sharper drops, while any increase in cloud cover or localized showers could nudge the minimum toward 26 °C or below. Recent model consensus from extended July outlooks and short-range guidance supports this narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines where July lows average 25–28 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and regional model runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$146結束日期
2026-07-27市場開放時間
Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast guidance for Shanghai on July 27 shows overnight lows centered near 27–29 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies are the dominant factors preventing sharper drops, while any increase in cloud cover or localized showers could nudge the minimum toward 26 °C or below. Recent model consensus from extended July outlooks and short-range guidance supports this narrow range, consistent with climatological baselines where July lows average 25–28 °C. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and regional model runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions