Traders favor a 28°C high for Mexico City on July 24 at 36.5% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 27°C, reflecting model consensus around 26–28°C amid the summer rainy season. High-elevation conditions at roughly 2,240 meters and typical July climatology keep daytime maxima moderate, with morning insolation driving peaks before afternoon convection and showers develop. Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models show limited variability, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes rather than allow spikes above 29°C or drops below 27°C. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud timing, humidity levels, and steering patterns that influence how much solar heating occurs before storms initiate, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城7月24日的最高溫度？
墨西哥城7月24日的最高溫度？
28°C 38%
27°C 33%
29°C 16%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
33%
28°C
38%
29°C
16%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
28°C 38%
27°C 33%
29°C 16%
26°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
24°C或以下
$149 交易量
1%
25°C
$165 交易量
2%
26°C
$799 交易量
11%
27°C
$1,137 交易量
33%
28°C
$291 交易量
38%
29°C
$547 交易量
16%
30°C
$657 交易量
3%
31°C
$201 交易量
1%
32°C
$252 交易量
1%
33°C
$349 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$251 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders favor a 28°C high for Mexico City on July 24 at 36.5% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 27°C, reflecting model consensus around 26–28°C amid the summer rainy season. High-elevation conditions at roughly 2,240 meters and typical July climatology keep daytime maxima moderate, with morning insolation driving peaks before afternoon convection and showers develop. Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models show limited variability, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes rather than allow spikes above 29°C or drops below 27°C. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud timing, humidity levels, and steering patterns that influence how much solar heating occurs before storms initiate, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$4,798結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders favor a 28°C high for Mexico City on July 24 at 36.5% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 27°C, reflecting model consensus around 26–28°C amid the summer rainy season. High-elevation conditions at roughly 2,240 meters and typical July climatology keep daytime maxima moderate, with morning insolation driving peaks before afternoon convection and showers develop. Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models show limited variability, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes rather than allow spikes above 29°C or drops below 27°C. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud timing, humidity levels, and steering patterns that influence how much solar heating occurs before storms initiate, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,798結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ETTraders favor a 28°C high for Mexico City on July 24 at 36.5% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 27°C, reflecting model consensus around 26–28°C amid the summer rainy season. High-elevation conditions at roughly 2,240 meters and typical July climatology keep daytime maxima moderate, with morning insolation driving peaks before afternoon convection and showers develop. Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models show limited variability, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes rather than allow spikes above 29°C or drops below 27°C. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud timing, humidity levels, and steering patterns that influence how much solar heating occurs before storms initiate, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions