Short-term forecasts from models like those informing AccuWeather and regional outlooks point to typical mid-July subtropical conditions in Shenzhen, with daytime highs near the 32°C seasonal average amid high humidity and variable monsoon moisture. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, where differences hinge on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and any localized convective activity that could cap peak readings by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing for slightly warmer outcomes. Historical analogs show July maxima frequently falling in this narrow band unless stronger typhoon influences or clearer anticyclonic patterns emerge, with final resolution depending on official station data for the exact daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月27日深圳最高溫度?
32°C 31%
31°C 26%
30°C 20%
29°C 18%
27°C或以下
4%
28°C
12%
29°C
18%
30°C
20%
31°C
26%
32°C
31%
33°C
14%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C或以上
7%
32°C 31%
31°C 26%
30°C 20%
29°C 18%
27°C或以下
4%
28°C
12%
29°C
18%
30°C
20%
31°C
26%
32°C
31%
33°C
14%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C或以上
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 25, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Short-term forecasts from models like those informing AccuWeather and regional outlooks point to typical mid-July subtropical conditions in Shenzhen, with daytime highs near the 32°C seasonal average amid high humidity and variable monsoon moisture. This underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–32°C, where differences hinge on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and any localized convective activity that could cap peak readings by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing for slightly warmer outcomes. Historical analogs show July maxima frequently falling in this narrow band unless stronger typhoon influences or clearer anticyclonic patterns emerge, with final resolution depending on official station data for the exact daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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