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icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$261,066 交易量

2026-11-03
Polymarket

$261,066 交易量

Polymarket

California

$12,000 交易量

97%

Texas

$4,886 交易量

89%

North Carolina

$8,686 交易量

98%

Ohio

$6,040 交易量

93%

Utah

$60,677 交易量

83%

Florida

$1,177 交易量

63%

Louisiana

$15,702 交易量

89%

Missouri

$3,904 交易量

86%

Virginia

$6,915 交易量

10%

Alabama

$14,782 交易量

83%

South Carolina

$21,995 交易量

80%

Georgia

$2,698 交易量

42%

Kansas

$5,162 交易量

9%

New Jersey

$5,044 交易量

6%

Indiana

$28,282 交易量

6%

Washington

$5,325 交易量

8%

Nebraska

$6,500 交易量

5%

Illinois

$10,019 交易量

3%

Minnesota

$9,398 交易量

3%

New York

$8,026 交易量

13%

Maryland

$8,636 交易量

17%

Wisconsin

$15,213 交易量

12%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Several states have enacted new congressional district maps since the 2024 elections for use in the 2026 midterms, a process known as mid-decade redistricting. Republican-led legislatures in Texas, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Tennessee approved revised lines, often following calls to strengthen party advantages through adjustments to urban and minority districts. Democrats countered with voter-approved changes in California and court-driven updates in Utah, while litigation continues in Alabama, Georgia, and Louisiana over Voting Rights Act compliance and potential further revisions. Primaries have begun or been rescheduled in affected states, with Supreme Court rulings on racial gerrymandering influencing timelines and outcomes in the South. These developments create shifting paths to victory for both parties ahead of November balloting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$261,066
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Several states have enacted new congressional district maps since the 2024 elections for use in the 2026 midterms, a process known as mid-decade redistricting. Republican-led legislatures in Texas, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Tennessee approved revised lines, often following calls to strengthen party advantages through adjustments to urban and minority districts. Democrats countered with voter-approved changes in California and court-driven updates in Utah, while litigation continues in Alabama, Georgia, and Louisiana over Voting Rights Act compliance and potential further revisions. Primaries have begun or been rescheduled in affected states, with Supreme Court rulings on racial gerrymandering influencing timelines and outcomes in the South. These developments create shifting paths to victory for both parties ahead of November balloting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$261,066
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "North Carolina" at 98%, followed by "California" at 97%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" has generated $261.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" is "North Carolina" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "California" at 97%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.