Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted revised congressional maps through legislative action or ballot measures since mid-2025, making them effective for the 2026 midterms. These mid-decade changes, uncommon since the 1800s, stem primarily from partisan efforts to adjust district lines for House seat gains, accelerated by the Supreme Court’s 2026 Louisiana v. Callais ruling that altered Voting Rights Act standards for racial considerations in redistricting. Most other states retain post-2020 census maps, though litigation continues in several jurisdictions and candidate filing deadlines have shifted in places like Florida. Special primaries in affected districts are scheduled for August 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the finality of these enactments and any remaining court challenges that could alter boundaries before November voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$395,140 交易量
California
97%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
$395,140 交易量
California
97%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted revised congressional maps through legislative action or ballot measures since mid-2025, making them effective for the 2026 midterms. These mid-decade changes, uncommon since the 1800s, stem primarily from partisan efforts to adjust district lines for House seat gains, accelerated by the Supreme Court’s 2026 Louisiana v. Callais ruling that altered Voting Rights Act standards for racial considerations in redistricting. Most other states retain post-2020 census maps, though litigation continues in several jurisdictions and candidate filing deadlines have shifted in places like Florida. Special primaries in affected districts are scheduled for August 2026. Trader sentiment reflects the finality of these enactments and any remaining court challenges that could alter boundaries before November voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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