Virginia Democrats secured voter approval in April 2026 for a constitutional amendment enabling mid-decade congressional redistricting, and the General Assembly quickly enacted a new map signed by Governor Abigail Spanberger that would have shifted the state’s 11 districts to favor Democrats in ten seats. The Virginia Supreme Court ruled on May 8 that procedural violations during the amendment process violated the state constitution, nullifying the referendum and new lines. Democrats appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, which denied emergency relief on May 15, confirming that the 2021 map remains in effect. With the May 12 deadline for map changes passed and no further legal avenues open before the November midterms, traders assign overwhelming probability against any new congressional map being implemented.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$45,918 交易量
$45,918 交易量
是
$45,918 交易量
$45,918 交易量
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia Democrats secured voter approval in April 2026 for a constitutional amendment enabling mid-decade congressional redistricting, and the General Assembly quickly enacted a new map signed by Governor Abigail Spanberger that would have shifted the state’s 11 districts to favor Democrats in ten seats. The Virginia Supreme Court ruled on May 8 that procedural violations during the amendment process violated the state constitution, nullifying the referendum and new lines. Democrats appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, which denied emergency relief on May 15, confirming that the 2021 map remains in effect. With the May 12 deadline for map changes passed and no further legal avenues open before the November midterms, traders assign overwhelming probability against any new congressional map being implemented.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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