The June 2 top-two primary in California's 22nd congressional district sets the stage for the November general election in this Central Valley seat redrawn to a near-even partisan balance. Incumbent Republican David Valadao faces Democrats Jasmeet Bains and Randy Villegas, with a late May poll showing Valadao at 44 percent, Villegas at 25 percent, and Bains at 21 percent among likely voters. This split Democratic vote and the district's recent history of narrow margins inform trader views on which party secures the seat, alongside factors such as candidate fundraising, endorsements, and turnout patterns typical of competitive House races. The current market pricing reflects these dynamics without assuming any specific outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主黨
65%
共和黨
33%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主黨
$380 交易量
65%
共和黨
$89 交易量
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2 top-two primary in California's 22nd congressional district sets the stage for the November general election in this Central Valley seat redrawn to a near-even partisan balance. Incumbent Republican David Valadao faces Democrats Jasmeet Bains and Randy Villegas, with a late May poll showing Valadao at 44 percent, Villegas at 25 percent, and Bains at 21 percent among likely voters. This split Democratic vote and the district's recent history of narrow margins inform trader views on which party secures the seat, alongside factors such as candidate fundraising, endorsements, and turnout patterns typical of competitive House races. The current market pricing reflects these dynamics without assuming any specific outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ET
交易量
$468結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2 top-two primary in California's 22nd congressional district sets the stage for the November general election in this Central Valley seat redrawn to a near-even partisan balance. Incumbent Republican David Valadao faces Democrats Jasmeet Bains and Randy Villegas, with a late May poll showing Valadao at 44 percent, Villegas at 25 percent, and Bains at 21 percent among likely voters. This split Democratic vote and the district's recent history of narrow margins inform trader views on which party secures the seat, alongside factors such as candidate fundraising, endorsements, and turnout patterns typical of competitive House races. The current market pricing reflects these dynamics without assuming any specific outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$468結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The June 2 top-two primary in California's 22nd congressional district sets the stage for the November general election in this Central Valley seat redrawn to a near-even partisan balance. Incumbent Republican David Valadao faces Democrats Jasmeet Bains and Randy Villegas, with a late May poll showing Valadao at 44 percent, Villegas at 25 percent, and Bains at 21 percent among likely voters. This split Democratic vote and the district's recent history of narrow margins inform trader views on which party secures the seat, alongside factors such as candidate fundraising, endorsements, and turnout patterns typical of competitive House races. The current market pricing reflects these dynamics without assuming any specific outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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