Incumbent Republican Mike Bost faces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier in Illinois’s 12th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat covering southern Illinois and southeastern St. Louis exurbs including Carbondale, Marion, and O’Fallon. Bost secured reelection in 2024 by more than 48 points and holds an established fundraising and organizational advantage as the long-serving representative. The district’s R+22 partisan lean and history of strong Republican performance underpin trader consensus for a GOP victory. With primaries concluded and no major late-cycle developments or scandals reported, the primary risks to the current outlook remain a historically unprecedented national Democratic wave or an unforeseen health or legal issue affecting the incumbent before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$21,481 交易量
$21,481 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
94%
民主黨
4%
$21,481 交易量
$21,481 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$10,390 交易量
94%
民主黨
$11,092 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost faces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier in Illinois’s 12th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat covering southern Illinois and southeastern St. Louis exurbs including Carbondale, Marion, and O’Fallon. Bost secured reelection in 2024 by more than 48 points and holds an established fundraising and organizational advantage as the long-serving representative. The district’s R+22 partisan lean and history of strong Republican performance underpin trader consensus for a GOP victory. With primaries concluded and no major late-cycle developments or scandals reported, the primary risks to the current outlook remain a historically unprecedented national Democratic wave or an unforeseen health or legal issue affecting the incumbent before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$21,481結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost faces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier in Illinois’s 12th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat covering southern Illinois and southeastern St. Louis exurbs including Carbondale, Marion, and O’Fallon. Bost secured reelection in 2024 by more than 48 points and holds an established fundraising and organizational advantage as the long-serving representative. The district’s R+22 partisan lean and history of strong Republican performance underpin trader consensus for a GOP victory. With primaries concluded and no major late-cycle developments or scandals reported, the primary risks to the current outlook remain a historically unprecedented national Democratic wave or an unforeseen health or legal issue affecting the incumbent before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,481結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost faces Democratic nominee Julie Fortier in Illinois’s 12th congressional district, a solidly Republican seat covering southern Illinois and southeastern St. Louis exurbs including Carbondale, Marion, and O’Fallon. Bost secured reelection in 2024 by more than 48 points and holds an established fundraising and organizational advantage as the long-serving representative. The district’s R+22 partisan lean and history of strong Republican performance underpin trader consensus for a GOP victory. With primaries concluded and no major late-cycle developments or scandals reported, the primary risks to the current outlook remain a historically unprecedented national Democratic wave or an unforeseen health or legal issue affecting the incumbent before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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