Islam Makhachev holds a commanding edge in the UFC welterweight title picture as the current champion following his dominant 2025 victory over Jack Della Maddalena, and traders assign him an 80.5% implied probability of retaining the belt through the end of 2026. His established dominance at lightweight, combined with a strong start at 170 pounds and a confirmed first title defense scheduled for July, positions him favorably against a deep division. Rising contenders such as Carlos Prates, fresh off back-to-back knockout wins including one over Della Maddalena, and Ian Machado Garry sit at 18.9% and 6.6% respectively, reflecting their momentum and stylistic threats but also the significant barriers posed by Makhachev’s grappling and fight IQ. Other names like Michael Morales and veterans such as Kamaru Usman trail further behind amid ongoing roster shifts and recent form trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯蘭·馬哈切夫 81%
卡洛斯·普拉特斯 19.9%
伊恩·馬查多·加里 6.6%
邁克爾·莫拉雷斯 4.0%
$40,316 交易量
$40,316 交易量
伊斯蘭·馬哈切夫
81%
卡洛斯·普拉特斯
19%
伊恩·馬查多·加里
7%
邁克爾·莫拉雷斯
4%
卡馬魯·烏斯曼
<1%
利昂·愛德華茲
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
傑克·德拉·馬達倫納
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
貝拉爾·穆罕默德
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
伊斯蘭·馬哈切夫 81%
卡洛斯·普拉特斯 19.9%
伊恩·馬查多·加里 6.6%
邁克爾·莫拉雷斯 4.0%
$40,316 交易量
$40,316 交易量
伊斯蘭·馬哈切夫
81%
卡洛斯·普拉特斯
19%
伊恩·馬查多·加里
7%
邁克爾·莫拉雷斯
4%
卡馬魯·烏斯曼
<1%
利昂·愛德華茲
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
傑克·德拉·馬達倫納
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
貝拉爾·穆罕默德
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
市場開放時間: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev holds a commanding edge in the UFC welterweight title picture as the current champion following his dominant 2025 victory over Jack Della Maddalena, and traders assign him an 80.5% implied probability of retaining the belt through the end of 2026. His established dominance at lightweight, combined with a strong start at 170 pounds and a confirmed first title defense scheduled for July, positions him favorably against a deep division. Rising contenders such as Carlos Prates, fresh off back-to-back knockout wins including one over Della Maddalena, and Ian Machado Garry sit at 18.9% and 6.6% respectively, reflecting their momentum and stylistic threats but also the significant barriers posed by Makhachev’s grappling and fight IQ. Other names like Michael Morales and veterans such as Kamaru Usman trail further behind amid ongoing roster shifts and recent form trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions