The recent resignation of Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer in April 2026 has created an unexpected vacancy, elevating the odds for experienced administration insiders such as Jonathan Berry, currently serving as Solicitor, and Keith Sonderling, now acting secretary. Traders assign Andrew Puzder comparable probability due to his prior cabinet consideration and established Republican labor policy ties. With the three front-runners separated by only a few percentage points, the market reflects uncertainty over Senate confirmation dynamics, White House preferences for continuity versus new voices, and the timing of any formal announcement before the end of 2026. Potential catalysts include upcoming committee hearings, public endorsements from key senators, or shifts in labor policy priorities that could consolidate support behind one candidate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Keith Sonderling 39%
文斯·米孔尼 5.6%
None in 2026 5.2%
肖恩·奧布萊恩 4.7%
$45,086 交易量
$45,086 交易量
Keith Sonderling
39%
文斯·米孔尼
6%
None in 2026
5%
肖恩·奧布萊恩
5%
格倫·楊金
4%
Brandon Williams
3%
Johnny C. Taylor Jr.
3%
Patrick Pizzella
2%
Bryan Slater
17%
Andrew Puzder
39%
Jonathan Berry
43%
Keith Sonderling 39%
文斯·米孔尼 5.6%
None in 2026 5.2%
肖恩·奧布萊恩 4.7%
$45,086 交易量
$45,086 交易量
Keith Sonderling
39%
文斯·米孔尼
6%
None in 2026
5%
肖恩·奧布萊恩
5%
格倫·楊金
4%
Brandon Williams
3%
Johnny C. Taylor Jr.
3%
Patrick Pizzella
2%
Bryan Slater
17%
Andrew Puzder
39%
Jonathan Berry
43%
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor.
Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 20, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor.
Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The recent resignation of Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer in April 2026 has created an unexpected vacancy, elevating the odds for experienced administration insiders such as Jonathan Berry, currently serving as Solicitor, and Keith Sonderling, now acting secretary. Traders assign Andrew Puzder comparable probability due to his prior cabinet consideration and established Republican labor policy ties. With the three front-runners separated by only a few percentage points, the market reflects uncertainty over Senate confirmation dynamics, White House preferences for continuity versus new voices, and the timing of any formal announcement before the end of 2026. Potential catalysts include upcoming committee hearings, public endorsements from key senators, or shifts in labor policy priorities that could consolidate support behind one candidate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions