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特朗普內閣 預測與賠率

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Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$19.6K 交易量

$11.2K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

卡許·帕特爾在… ?

卡許·帕特爾在… ?

67%

12月31日

$1M 交易量

$72.3K Liq.

121

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

2%

$657K 交易量

$36.0K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

特朗普將在6月30日前宣布誰將成為下一任司法部長?

特朗普將在6月30日前宣布誰將成為下一任司法部長?

50%

6月30日前未宣布

$726K 交易量

$177K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Pete Hegseth在6月30日前出任國防部長?

Pete Hegseth在6月30日前出任國防部長?

7%

$141K 交易量

$22.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

特朗普將宣布誰成為下一任FDA委員?

特朗普將宣布誰成為下一任FDA委員?

43%

Kyle Diamantas

$5.9K 交易量

$39.4K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Pete Hegseth在12月31日前出任國防部長?

Pete Hegseth在12月31日前出任國防部長?

36%

$213K 交易量

$41.5K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

41%

Keith Sonderling

$43.0K 交易量

$29.9K Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

48%

Tulsi Gabbard

$11.6K 交易量

$37.2K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

30%

$18.8K 交易量

$4.6K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

今年還有多少人離開特朗普內閣?

今年還有多少人離開特朗普內閣?

32%

2

$2.9K 交易量

$28.0K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Ron DeSantis會在6月30日前加入川普政府嗎?

Ron DeSantis會在6月30日前加入川普政府嗎?

10%

$1.1K 交易量

$9.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

43%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$398 交易量

$2.5K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

48%

$12.6K 交易量

$7.9K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 特朗普內閣.

Polymarket currently hosts 14 active markets for 特朗普內閣 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Major US official out by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Pete Hegseth在12月31日前出任國防部長?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “卡許·帕特爾在… ?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “卡許·帕特爾在… ?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 67% chance to 12月31日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 特朗普內閣 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.