The overwhelming trader consensus favoring "None" at 99.1% reflects the extreme rarity of a women's calendar Grand Slam, last achieved in 1988, combined with the physical and tactical demands of excelling across hard courts, clay, and grass in a single season. WTA depth, frequent injuries, and varying surface preferences continue to limit any single player's path through all four majors. Elena Rybakina holds the slim 0.9% implied probability due to her powerful serve, recent form, and strong ranking positioning, yet she faces significant barriers including inconsistent results on slower surfaces and a highly competitive field. Only an unprecedented injury-free run with dominant performances in the Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open could realistically shift these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,573,294 交易量
$1,573,294 交易量
無
99%
伊蓮娜·雷巴金娜
1%
$1,573,294 交易量
$1,573,294 交易量
無
99%
伊蓮娜·雷巴金娜
1%
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 6, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The overwhelming trader consensus favoring "None" at 99.1% reflects the extreme rarity of a women's calendar Grand Slam, last achieved in 1988, combined with the physical and tactical demands of excelling across hard courts, clay, and grass in a single season. WTA depth, frequent injuries, and varying surface preferences continue to limit any single player's path through all four majors. Elena Rybakina holds the slim 0.9% implied probability due to her powerful serve, recent form, and strong ranking positioning, yet she faces significant barriers including inconsistent results on slower surfaces and a highly competitive field. Only an unprecedented injury-free run with dominant performances in the Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, and US Open could realistically shift these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions