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icon for 阿根廷會在2026年6月30日前美元化嗎？
政治·阿根廷

阿根廷會在2026年6月30日前美元化嗎？

icon for 阿根廷會在2026年6月30日前美元化嗎？
政治·阿根廷

阿根廷會在2026年6月30日前美元化嗎？

是

1% 機率
Polymarket

$15,155 交易量

是

1% 機率
Polymarket

$15,155 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.President Javier Milei's April 2026 statement that "people don't want" dollarization has solidified trader consensus against Argentina adopting the US dollar by June 30, with "No" shares reflecting near-certainty at 98.7%. His administration has instead pursued peso stabilization through a third exchange rate regime launched January 2026, featuring monthly peso-dollar bands to build reserves amid falling inflation and projected GDP growth. Lacking sufficient dollar reserves—estimated below the $50 billion threshold for feasibility—and congressional approval from opposition-held chambers, the complex process faces insurmountable hurdles in the remaining six weeks. Only an abrupt economic crisis, massive reserve influx via IMF deals, or unprecedented executive action could shift odds, though none appear imminent.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.

Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
交易量
$15,155
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Oct 31, 2025, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.President Javier Milei's April 2026 statement that "people don't want" dollarization has solidified trader consensus against Argentina adopting the US dollar by June 30, with "No" shares reflecting near-certainty at 98.7%. His administration has instead pursued peso stabilization through a third exchange rate regime launched January 2026, featuring monthly peso-dollar bands to build reserves amid falling inflation and projected GDP growth. Lacking sufficient dollar reserves—estimated below the $50 billion threshold for feasibility—and congressional approval from opposition-held chambers, the complex process faces insurmountable hurdles in the remaining six weeks. Only an abrupt economic crisis, massive reserve influx via IMF deals, or unprecedented executive action could shift odds, though none appear imminent.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.

Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
交易量
$15,155
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Oct 31, 2025, 11:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿根廷會在2026年6月30日前美元化嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "到2026年6月30日，阿根廷會實行美元化嗎？" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "阿根廷會在2026年6月30日前美元化嗎？" has generated $15.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "阿根廷會在2026年6月30日前美元化嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "阿根廷會在2026年6月30日前美元化嗎？" is "到2026年6月30日，阿根廷會實行美元化嗎？" at just 1%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "阿根廷會在2026年6月30日前美元化嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.