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icon for Banksy會在9月30日前發佈到Instagram嗎?

Banksy會在9月30日前發佈到Instagram嗎?

icon for Banksy會在9月30日前發佈到Instagram嗎?

Banksy會在9月30日前發佈到Instagram嗎?

28% 機率
Polymarket
最新

28% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify. Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion. Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).Banksy’s official Instagram functions primarily as a verification channel for new street works rather than a regular feed, a pattern that has produced extended quiet stretches between authenticating posts. With the market opening September 2 and roughly four weeks remaining, traders see no fresh mural, political flashpoint, or London installation likely to trigger confirmation by month-end, consistent with the account’s static post count near 154 and the absence of verified activity through late August. Historical precedent shows posts cluster around high-visibility drops, and the current lack of reported catalysts or precursor buzz reinforces the market-implied lean toward no activity. A surprise drop or UK event could still shift momentum before the September 30 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.

Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.

Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.

The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
交易量
$2
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify. Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion. Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify. Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion. Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).Banksy’s official Instagram functions primarily as a verification channel for new street works rather than a regular feed, a pattern that has produced extended quiet stretches between authenticating posts. With the market opening September 2 and roughly four weeks remaining, traders see no fresh mural, political flashpoint, or London installation likely to trigger confirmation by month-end, consistent with the account’s static post count near 154 and the absence of verified activity through late August. Historical precedent shows posts cluster around high-visibility drops, and the current lack of reported catalysts or precursor buzz reinforces the market-implied lean toward no activity. A surprise drop or UK event could still shift momentum before the September 30 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.

Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.

Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.

The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
交易量
$2
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify. Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion. Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Banksy會在9月30日前發佈到Instagram嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Banksy 會在 9 月 30 日前在 Instagram 發文嗎?" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Banksy會在9月30日前發佈到Instagram嗎?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Banksy會在9月30日前發佈到Instagram嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Banksy會在9月30日前發佈到Instagram嗎?" is "Banksy 會在 9 月 30 日前在 Instagram 發文嗎?" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Banksy會在9月30日前發佈到Instagram嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.