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運動·2026年世界盃足球賽

Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

icon for Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
運動·2026年世界盃足球賽

Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

89% 機率
Polymarket

$137,855 交易量

89% 機率
Polymarket

$137,855 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FIFA's explicit confirmation that Iran has qualified and will compete in the 2026 World Cup, combined with recent high-level meetings, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring participation. In mid-May 2026, FIFA Secretary General Mattias Grafström held constructive talks in Istanbul with Iranian Football Federation officials, offering assurances on logistics, security, and treatment for Team Melli. FIFA President Gianni Infantino has repeatedly stated that Iran will play its group-stage matches on U.S. soil as scheduled, despite ongoing visa negotiations and demands for guarantees from host nations. Iran has released its preliminary roster and affirmed its intent to take part without compromising core principles, while FIFA continues to facilitate resolutions on travel and diplomatic hurdles ahead of the June tournament start. These developments reflect sustained institutional efforts to ensure all qualified teams can compete.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$137,855
結束日期
2026-08-02
市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FIFA's explicit confirmation that Iran has qualified and will compete in the 2026 World Cup, combined with recent high-level meetings, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring participation. In mid-May 2026, FIFA Secretary General Mattias Grafström held constructive talks in Istanbul with Iranian Football Federation officials, offering assurances on logistics, security, and treatment for Team Melli. FIFA President Gianni Infantino has repeatedly stated that Iran will play its group-stage matches on U.S. soil as scheduled, despite ongoing visa negotiations and demands for guarantees from host nations. Iran has released its preliminary roster and affirmed its intent to take part without compromising core principles, while FIFA continues to facilitate resolutions on travel and diplomatic hurdles ahead of the June tournament start. These developments reflect sustained institutional efforts to ensure all qualified teams can compete.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$137,855
結束日期
2026-08-02
市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 89% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 89¢, the market collectively assigns a 89% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" has generated $137.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" is 89% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 89% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.