Recent injury concerns among star players have shaped trader consensus around advancement probabilities for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with confirmed absences and recoveries for key attackers and midfielders adding uncertainty ahead of the June 11 kickoff. The expanded 48-team format divides nations into 12 groups of four, sending the top two finishers plus the eight strongest third-place sides into the Round of 32. Powerhouses benefit from favorable group draws and strong qualifying momentum, while hosts gain notable home and altitude advantages. Final international friendlies and squad announcements remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities, as depth and recent form continue to influence assessments of group-stage outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$12,750 交易量
Spain
99%
France
97%
Germany
95%
Belgium
94%
Portugal
94%
Argentina
93%
England
93%
Brazil
92%
Switzerland
91%
Uruguay
88%
Netherlands
87%
Morocco
86%
Mexico
84%
Austria
85%
Ecuador
82%
Colombia
83%
Norway
81%
USA
80%
Japan
79%
Canada
75%
Croatia
77%
Turkiye
75%
Paraguay
63%
Scotland
72%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
69%
Algeria
69%
Czechia
67%
Ivory Coast
67%
Egypt
65%
Senegal
65%
South Korea
64%
Sweden
63%
Saudi Arabia
59%
Ghana
54%
DR Congo
53%
Australia
43%
Iran
59%
Tunisia
44%
Uzbekistan
45%
South Africa
33%
Panama
30%
Cape Verde
28%
New Zealand
26%
Qatar
20%
Jordan
16%
Iraq
12%
Haiti
12%
Curacao
13%
$12,750 交易量
Spain
99%
France
97%
Germany
95%
Belgium
94%
Portugal
94%
Argentina
93%
England
93%
Brazil
92%
Switzerland
91%
Uruguay
88%
Netherlands
87%
Morocco
86%
Mexico
84%
Austria
85%
Ecuador
82%
Colombia
83%
Norway
81%
USA
80%
Japan
79%
Canada
75%
Croatia
77%
Turkiye
75%
Paraguay
63%
Scotland
72%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
69%
Algeria
69%
Czechia
67%
Ivory Coast
67%
Egypt
65%
Senegal
65%
South Korea
64%
Sweden
63%
Saudi Arabia
59%
Ghana
54%
DR Congo
53%
Australia
43%
Iran
59%
Tunisia
44%
Uzbekistan
45%
South Africa
33%
Panama
30%
Cape Verde
28%
New Zealand
26%
Qatar
20%
Jordan
16%
Iraq
12%
Haiti
12%
Curacao
13%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent injury concerns among star players have shaped trader consensus around advancement probabilities for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with confirmed absences and recoveries for key attackers and midfielders adding uncertainty ahead of the June 11 kickoff. The expanded 48-team format divides nations into 12 groups of four, sending the top two finishers plus the eight strongest third-place sides into the Round of 32. Powerhouses benefit from favorable group draws and strong qualifying momentum, while hosts gain notable home and altitude advantages. Final international friendlies and squad announcements remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities, as depth and recent form continue to influence assessments of group-stage outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions