The Sudanese Armed Forces maintain firm control over Khartoum and surrounding central regions following their recapture of the capital in early 2025 and the government's full return there by January 2026. Recent developments, including ongoing SAF advances in Kordofan and Blue Nile states plus fresh RSF defections, have further entrenched this territorial split, with RSF forces largely confined to Darfur and western areas without any verified offensive posture directed at the capital. Traders assign near-certainty to a negative resolution because the six-week window offers no realistic path for RSF reversal of a year-long consolidation by SAF units around key sites like the airport and presidential palace. A sudden, large-scale RSF mobilization or major external intervention could theoretically alter the balance, yet current front-line dynamics and RSF setbacks make such shifts improbable before the June 30 cutoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$21,762 交易量
$21,762 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$21,762 交易量
$21,762 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces maintain firm control over Khartoum and surrounding central regions following their recapture of the capital in early 2025 and the government's full return there by January 2026. Recent developments, including ongoing SAF advances in Kordofan and Blue Nile states plus fresh RSF defections, have further entrenched this territorial split, with RSF forces largely confined to Darfur and western areas without any verified offensive posture directed at the capital. Traders assign near-certainty to a negative resolution because the six-week window offers no realistic path for RSF reversal of a year-long consolidation by SAF units around key sites like the airport and presidential palace. A sudden, large-scale RSF mobilization or major external intervention could theoretically alter the balance, yet current front-line dynamics and RSF setbacks make such shifts improbable before the June 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
市場開放時間： Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
交易量
$21,762結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces maintain firm control over Khartoum and surrounding central regions following their recapture of the capital in early 2025 and the government's full return there by January 2026. Recent developments, including ongoing SAF advances in Kordofan and Blue Nile states plus fresh RSF defections, have further entrenched this territorial split, with RSF forces largely confined to Darfur and western areas without any verified offensive posture directed at the capital. Traders assign near-certainty to a negative resolution because the six-week window offers no realistic path for RSF reversal of a year-long consolidation by SAF units around key sites like the airport and presidential palace. A sudden, large-scale RSF mobilization or major external intervention could theoretically alter the balance, yet current front-line dynamics and RSF setbacks make such shifts improbable before the June 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
交易量
$21,762結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Sudanese Armed Forces maintain firm control over Khartoum and surrounding central regions following their recapture of the capital in early 2025 and the government's full return there by January 2026. Recent developments, including ongoing SAF advances in Kordofan and Blue Nile states plus fresh RSF defections, have further entrenched this territorial split, with RSF forces largely confined to Darfur and western areas without any verified offensive posture directed at the capital. Traders assign near-certainty to a negative resolution because the six-week window offers no realistic path for RSF reversal of a year-long consolidation by SAF units around key sites like the airport and presidential palace. A sudden, large-scale RSF mobilization or major external intervention could theoretically alter the balance, yet current front-line dynamics and RSF setbacks make such shifts improbable before the June 30 cutoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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