Ongoing diplomatic initiatives, including the Quad framework from the United States, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates, continue to push for a phased humanitarian truce followed by a broader ceasefire, yet both the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces have resisted commitments amid mutual accusations of violations. The April 2026 Berlin donor conference highlighted stalled mediation, with no joint agreement reached and Sudanese authorities rejecting external involvement in political processes. Escalating drone warfare has intensified civilian casualties and infrastructure damage, while territorial control remains fragmented across Darfur and Kordofan. Persistent foreign backing for each side, combined with the war economy's entrenched interests, sustains the military impasse despite repeated UN and African Union calls for immediate cessation of hostilities and unrestricted aid access.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$92,656 交易量
2026-06-30
2026年6月30日
13%
2026年12月31日
19%
$92,656 交易量
2026年6月30日
$33,217 交易量
13%
2026年12月31日
$291 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing diplomatic initiatives, including the Quad framework from the United States, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates, continue to push for a phased humanitarian truce followed by a broader ceasefire, yet both the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces have resisted commitments amid mutual accusations of violations. The April 2026 Berlin donor conference highlighted stalled mediation, with no joint agreement reached and Sudanese authorities rejecting external involvement in political processes. Escalating drone warfare has intensified civilian casualties and infrastructure damage, while territorial control remains fragmented across Darfur and Kordofan. Persistent foreign backing for each side, combined with the war economy's entrenched interests, sustains the military impasse despite repeated UN and African Union calls for immediate cessation of hostilities and unrestricted aid access.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
市場開放時間： Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
交易量
$92,656結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing diplomatic initiatives, including the Quad framework from the United States, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates, continue to push for a phased humanitarian truce followed by a broader ceasefire, yet both the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces have resisted commitments amid mutual accusations of violations. The April 2026 Berlin donor conference highlighted stalled mediation, with no joint agreement reached and Sudanese authorities rejecting external involvement in political processes. Escalating drone warfare has intensified civilian casualties and infrastructure damage, while territorial control remains fragmented across Darfur and Kordofan. Persistent foreign backing for each side, combined with the war economy's entrenched interests, sustains the military impasse despite repeated UN and African Union calls for immediate cessation of hostilities and unrestricted aid access.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
交易量
$92,656結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic initiatives, including the Quad framework from the United States, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the United Arab Emirates, continue to push for a phased humanitarian truce followed by a broader ceasefire, yet both the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces have resisted commitments amid mutual accusations of violations. The April 2026 Berlin donor conference highlighted stalled mediation, with no joint agreement reached and Sudanese authorities rejecting external involvement in political processes. Escalating drone warfare has intensified civilian casualties and infrastructure damage, while territorial control remains fragmented across Darfur and Kordofan. Persistent foreign backing for each side, combined with the war economy's entrenched interests, sustains the military impasse despite repeated UN and African Union calls for immediate cessation of hostilities and unrestricted aid access.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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