Divided congressional priorities and recent committee outcomes on the FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act have kept the House evenly split on legislation that would limit or condition defense article transfers to Israel. Bipartisan amendments seeking restrictions, including efforts tied to appropriations measures and resolutions like H.R. 3565, have surfaced amid negotiations over a new bilateral aid framework, yet leadership opposition and failed attempts to strip integration provisions signal sustained resistance. The narrow window through September 30 leaves room for floor votes during defense spending debates or supplemental packages, where shifts in whip counts, progressive Democratic pressure, or Republican holds could alter passage odds either way. Trader consensus at even money reflects these procedural uncertainties and competing party dynamics ahead of scheduled markup and floor action.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-09-30
最新
最新
2026-09-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Divided congressional priorities and recent committee outcomes on the FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act have kept the House evenly split on legislation that would limit or condition defense article transfers to Israel. Bipartisan amendments seeking restrictions, including efforts tied to appropriations measures and resolutions like H.R. 3565, have surfaced amid negotiations over a new bilateral aid framework, yet leadership opposition and failed attempts to strip integration provisions signal sustained resistance. The narrow window through September 30 leaves room for floor votes during defense spending debates or supplemental packages, where shifts in whip counts, progressive Democratic pressure, or Republican holds could alter passage odds either way. Trader consensus at even money reflects these procedural uncertainties and competing party dynamics ahead of scheduled markup and floor action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Divided congressional priorities and recent committee outcomes on the FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act have kept the House evenly split on legislation that would limit or condition defense article transfers to Israel. Bipartisan amendments seeking restrictions, including efforts tied to appropriations measures and resolutions like H.R. 3565, have surfaced amid negotiations over a new bilateral aid framework, yet leadership opposition and failed attempts to strip integration provisions signal sustained resistance. The narrow window through September 30 leaves room for floor votes during defense spending debates or supplemental packages, where shifts in whip counts, progressive Democratic pressure, or Republican holds could alter passage odds either way. Trader consensus at even money reflects these procedural uncertainties and competing party dynamics ahead of scheduled markup and floor action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Divided congressional priorities and recent committee outcomes on the FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act have kept the House evenly split on legislation that would limit or condition defense article transfers to Israel. Bipartisan amendments seeking restrictions, including efforts tied to appropriations measures and resolutions like H.R. 3565, have surfaced amid negotiations over a new bilateral aid framework, yet leadership opposition and failed attempts to strip integration provisions signal sustained resistance. The narrow window through September 30 leaves room for floor votes during defense spending debates or supplemental packages, where shifts in whip counts, progressive Democratic pressure, or Republican holds could alter passage odds either way. Trader consensus at even money reflects these procedural uncertainties and competing party dynamics ahead of scheduled markup and floor action.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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