House Republican leadership and consistent bipartisan majorities have blocked or defeated multiple amendments seeking to restrict or condition U.S. military aid to Israel, including a July 2026 vote rejecting a proposal to eliminate $3.3 billion in Foreign Military Financing by 314-104. Recent legislative action on the FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act and appropriations measures has instead advanced expanded defense cooperation provisions and supplemental funding. With only days left before the September 30 deadline and no scheduled floor consideration of restrictive legislation, the procedural calendar and whip counts render passage improbable. Trader consensus at 97.8 percent on “No” reflects these patterns, though a last-minute rules change or surprise amendment during final spending debates remains a narrow possibility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
2% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
是
2% 機率
最新
最新
2026-09-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Republican leadership and consistent bipartisan majorities have blocked or defeated multiple amendments seeking to restrict or condition U.S. military aid to Israel, including a July 2026 vote rejecting a proposal to eliminate $3.3 billion in Foreign Military Financing by 314-104. Recent legislative action on the FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act and appropriations measures has instead advanced expanded defense cooperation provisions and supplemental funding. With only days left before the September 30 deadline and no scheduled floor consideration of restrictive legislation, the procedural calendar and whip counts render passage improbable. Trader consensus at 97.8 percent on “No” reflects these patterns, though a last-minute rules change or surprise amendment during final spending debates remains a narrow possibility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
交易量
$2,401結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Republican leadership and consistent bipartisan majorities have blocked or defeated multiple amendments seeking to restrict or condition U.S. military aid to Israel, including a July 2026 vote rejecting a proposal to eliminate $3.3 billion in Foreign Military Financing by 314-104. Recent legislative action on the FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act and appropriations measures has instead advanced expanded defense cooperation provisions and supplemental funding. With only days left before the September 30 deadline and no scheduled floor consideration of restrictive legislation, the procedural calendar and whip counts render passage improbable. Trader consensus at 97.8 percent on “No” reflects these patterns, though a last-minute rules change or surprise amendment during final spending debates remains a narrow possibility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,401結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ETHouse Republican leadership and consistent bipartisan majorities have blocked or defeated multiple amendments seeking to restrict or condition U.S. military aid to Israel, including a July 2026 vote rejecting a proposal to eliminate $3.3 billion in Foreign Military Financing by 314-104. Recent legislative action on the FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act and appropriations measures has instead advanced expanded defense cooperation provisions and supplemental funding. With only days left before the September 30 deadline and no scheduled floor consideration of restrictive legislation, the procedural calendar and whip counts render passage improbable. Trader consensus at 97.8 percent on “No” reflects these patterns, though a last-minute rules change or surprise amendment during final spending debates remains a narrow possibility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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