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icon for 2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?

2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?

icon for 2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?

2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?

12月 31

12月 31

10% 機率
Polymarket

$19,162 交易量

10% 機率
Polymarket

$19,162 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The House passage of the Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026, which bars new stock purchases by members and families but permits existing holdings with advance sale notices, has not generated Senate momentum toward a broader prohibition. Companion measures and stricter proposals in the upper chamber remain stalled in committee or face uncertain floor prospects amid partisan disagreements over scope and enforcement. With the 119th Congress focused on other priorities and no scheduled votes or leadership commitments before year-end, traders assess low odds of legislation reaching the president’s desk in time to meet a 2027 deadline. Historical patterns of ethics reforms requiring bipartisan Senate support and reconciliation further reinforce the current consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$19,162
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. The House passage of the Stop Insider Trading Act in July 2026, which bars new stock purchases by members and families but permits existing holdings with advance sale notices, has not generated Senate momentum toward a broader prohibition. Companion measures and stricter proposals in the upper chamber remain stalled in committee or face uncertain floor prospects amid partisan disagreements over scope and enforcement. With the 119th Congress focused on other priorities and no scheduled votes or leadership commitments before year-end, traders assess low odds of legislation reaching the president’s desk in time to meet a 2027 deadline. Historical patterns of ethics reforms requiring bipartisan Senate support and reconciliation further reinforce the current consensus.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$19,162
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "美國國會在2027年前禁止股票交易?" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?" has generated $19.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?" is "美國國會在2027年前禁止股票交易?" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.