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icon for 2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?

2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?

icon for 2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?

2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?

12月 31

12月 31

9% 機率
Polymarket

$18,262 交易量

9% 機率
Polymarket

$18,262 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Multiple bipartisan proposals to restrict congressional stock trading, including the Stop Insider Trading Act and Restore Trust in Congress Act, advanced through House committee markup in January 2026 with Senate companions introduced in March, yet none have secured floor votes in either chamber. A discharge petition stalled with limited signatures, while lawmakers redirected attention amid midterm election pressures and debates over bill scope such as blind trusts, spousal coverage, and outright divestment requirements. Leadership commitments for action have not translated into scheduled votes, reflecting institutional barriers and competing priorities that sustain trader consensus against enactment before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$18,262
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Multiple bipartisan proposals to restrict congressional stock trading, including the Stop Insider Trading Act and Restore Trust in Congress Act, advanced through House committee markup in January 2026 with Senate companions introduced in March, yet none have secured floor votes in either chamber. A discharge petition stalled with limited signatures, while lawmakers redirected attention amid midterm election pressures and debates over bill scope such as blind trusts, spousal coverage, and outright divestment requirements. Leadership commitments for action have not translated into scheduled votes, reflecting institutional barriers and competing priorities that sustain trader consensus against enactment before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$18,262
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "美國國會在2027年前禁止股票交易?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?" has generated $18.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?" is "美國國會在2027年前禁止股票交易?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "2027年之前的美國國會股票交易禁令?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.