Germany enters the 2026 World Cup with a squad blending elite attacking talent such as Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz alongside experienced leaders like Joshua Kimmich, Antonio Rüdiger, and returning goalkeeper Manuel Neuer under Julian Nagelsmann. Recent preparations in North Carolina, squad finalization, and strong qualification results have lifted confidence after group-stage exits in 2018 and 2022, supporting trader consensus that an early group-stage elimination remains unlikely. Fitness questions around Musiala and striker options, combined with limited historical depth at major tournaments, keep probabilities elevated for elimination in the round of 32 or round of 16 while capping deeper runs. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these variables alongside the expanded 48-team format and group draw.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Round of 16 33%
Round of 32 26%
Quarterfinals 18%
Semifinals 12%
Group Stage
3%
Round of 32
26%
Round of 16
33%
Quarterfinals
18%
Semifinals
12%
Final
11%
Champion
10%
Round of 16 33%
Round of 32 26%
Quarterfinals 18%
Semifinals 12%
Group Stage
3%
Round of 32
26%
Round of 16
33%
Quarterfinals
18%
Semifinals
12%
Final
11%
Champion
10%
If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jun 7, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Germany is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Germany based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Germany enters the 2026 World Cup with a squad blending elite attacking talent such as Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz alongside experienced leaders like Joshua Kimmich, Antonio Rüdiger, and returning goalkeeper Manuel Neuer under Julian Nagelsmann. Recent preparations in North Carolina, squad finalization, and strong qualification results have lifted confidence after group-stage exits in 2018 and 2022, supporting trader consensus that an early group-stage elimination remains unlikely. Fitness questions around Musiala and striker options, combined with limited historical depth at major tournaments, keep probabilities elevated for elimination in the round of 32 or round of 16 while capping deeper runs. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing incorporates these variables alongside the expanded 48-team format and group draw.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions