Skip to main content
icon for 世界杯：金靴獎得主
運動·FIFA世界杯

世界杯：金靴獎得主

icon for 世界杯：金靴獎得主
運動·FIFA世界杯

世界杯：金靴獎得主

Kylian Mbappe 24%

Harry Kane 22%

Lionel Messi 20.0%

Erling Haaland 9%

Polymarket

$19,558,644 交易量

Kylian Mbappe 24%

Harry Kane 22%

Lionel Messi 20.0%

Erling Haaland 9%

Polymarket

$19,558,644 交易量

Kylian Mbappe

$700,054 交易量

24%

Harry Kane

$546,689 交易量

22%

Lionel Messi

$507,785 交易量

20%

Erling Haaland

$492,576 交易量

9%

凱·哈弗茨

$292,670 交易量

5%

Vinicius Junior

$286,794 交易量

3%

Lamine Yamal

$381,971 交易量

2%

Folarin Balogun

$136,995 交易量

2%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$411,349 交易量

1%

Mikel Oyarzabal

$308,563 交易量

1%

Michael Olise

$404,911 交易量

1%

Luis Diaz

$272,259 交易量

1%

Julian Alvarez

$297,320 交易量

1%

Jude Bellingham

$252,851 交易量

<1%

Raphinha

$222,265 交易量

<1%

Viktor Gyökeres

$292,225 交易量

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$260,258 交易量

<1%

Ferran Torres

$427,537 交易量

<1%

Ousmane Dembele

$286,040 交易量

<1%

Igor Thiago

$1,061,059 交易量

<1%

Deniz Undav

$261,129 交易量

<1%

Cody Gakpo

$1,207,540 交易量

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$223,080 交易量

<1%

Bukayo Saka

$1,377,971 交易量

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$323,976 交易量

<1%

多尼耶爾·馬倫

$576,588 交易量

<1%

恩德里克

$509,455 交易量

<1%

Scott McTominay

$213,837 交易量

<1%

Depay Memphis

$294,714 交易量

<1%

Heung-Min Son

$219,790 交易量

<1%

Edin Džeko

$210,190 交易量

<1%

Ivan Perišić

$176,588 交易量

<1%

Andrej Kramarić

$156,322 交易量

<1%

Dani Olmo

$306,937 交易量

<1%

Desire Doue

$199,133 交易量

<1%

Bradley Barcola

$120,538 交易量

<1%

Sadio Mane

$233,340 交易量

<1%

Rafael Leao

$763,939 交易量

<1%

Pedri

$428,952 交易量

<1%

Luis Javier Suárez

$235,314 交易量

<1%

羅梅盧·盧卡庫

$274,395 交易量

<1%

Antoine Semenyo

$391,509 交易量

<1%

Federico Valverde

$1,022,416 交易量

<1%

弗洛里安·維爾茨

$271,565 交易量

<1%

孟菲斯·德佩

$168,095 交易量

<1%

Noah Okafor

$290,988 交易量

<1%

Rodrygo

$211,519 交易量

<1%

Amad Diallo

$623,682 交易量

<1%

Serge Gnabry

$176,161 交易量

<1%

Marcus Thuram

$129,700 交易量

<1%

蒂姆·佩恩

$3,198 交易量

<1%

Dion Beljo

$114,188 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$19,558,644
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club season at Bayern Munich that reinforces his proven international finishing. Erling Haaland and emerging options like Kai Havertz trail further back, reflecting their teams’ paths and variable early returns. With the expanded 48-team format extending run-ins and several elite forwards still in contention, the tight spread among the top three underscores how group-stage results, knockout progression, and minor scoring swings can rapidly shift consensus on who claims the most goals.

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$19,558,644
結束日期
2026-07-20
市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界杯：金靴獎得主" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 52+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kylian Mbappe" at 24%, followed by "Harry Kane" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "世界杯：金靴獎得主" has generated $19.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "世界杯：金靴獎得主," browse the 52+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界杯：金靴獎得主" is "Kylian Mbappe" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Harry Kane" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界杯：金靴獎得主" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.