Early results from the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage have largely aligned with pre-tournament expectations, strengthening implied probabilities for established sides to secure top-two finishes in their groups. Mexico's 2-0 opening win over South Africa and the United States' 4-1 victory against Paraguay reinforced strong positioning for the co-hosts, while South Korea's 2-1 result and Scotland's narrow win highlighted competitive edges in several pools. Draws involving Brazil, Switzerland, and Canada have kept multiple teams level on points early, with upcoming fixtures against stronger opponents likely to clarify advancement paths. Squad depth, recent form, and head-to-head trends in the expanded 48-team format continue to shape trader consensus around favorites clearing the group phase.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$2,472,524 交易量
西班牙
98%
美國
98%
墨西哥
98%
德國
97%
阿根廷
96%
法國
96%
葡萄牙
96%
英格蘭
96%
比利時
96%
南韓
95%
摩洛哥
94%
巴西
93%
哥倫比亞
91%
荷蘭
91%
烏拉圭
90%
瑞士
89%
澳洲
89%
厄瓜多
88%
挪威
86%
加拿大
84%
日本
83%
克羅埃西亞
82%
奧地利
79%
象牙海岸
78%
蘇格蘭
75%
塞內加爾
72%
埃及
72%
波斯尼亞和赫塞哥維納
70%
阿爾及利亞
68%
瑞典
63%
伊朗
63%
捷克
55%
土耳其
53%
迦納
49%
剛果民主共和國
42%
巴拿馬
38%
突尼西亞
36%
巴拉圭
35%
沙烏地阿拉伯
35%
烏茲別克斯坦
32%
紐西蘭
31%
佛得角
30%
卡塔爾
24%
約旦
20%
南非
16%
伊拉克
13%
庫拉索
7%
海地
4%
$2,472,524 交易量
西班牙
98%
美國
98%
墨西哥
98%
德國
97%
阿根廷
96%
法國
96%
葡萄牙
96%
英格蘭
96%
比利時
96%
南韓
95%
摩洛哥
94%
巴西
93%
哥倫比亞
91%
荷蘭
91%
烏拉圭
90%
瑞士
89%
澳洲
89%
厄瓜多
88%
挪威
86%
加拿大
84%
日本
83%
克羅埃西亞
82%
奧地利
79%
象牙海岸
78%
蘇格蘭
75%
塞內加爾
72%
埃及
72%
波斯尼亞和赫塞哥維納
70%
阿爾及利亞
68%
瑞典
63%
伊朗
63%
捷克
55%
土耳其
53%
迦納
49%
剛果民主共和國
42%
巴拿馬
38%
突尼西亞
36%
巴拉圭
35%
沙烏地阿拉伯
35%
烏茲別克斯坦
32%
紐西蘭
31%
佛得角
30%
卡塔爾
24%
約旦
20%
南非
16%
伊拉克
13%
庫拉索
7%
海地
4%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Early results from the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage have largely aligned with pre-tournament expectations, strengthening implied probabilities for established sides to secure top-two finishes in their groups. Mexico's 2-0 opening win over South Africa and the United States' 4-1 victory against Paraguay reinforced strong positioning for the co-hosts, while South Korea's 2-1 result and Scotland's narrow win highlighted competitive edges in several pools. Draws involving Brazil, Switzerland, and Canada have kept multiple teams level on points early, with upcoming fixtures against stronger opponents likely to clarify advancement paths. Squad depth, recent form, and head-to-head trends in the expanded 48-team format continue to shape trader consensus around favorites clearing the group phase.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions