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運動·足球

World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination

icon for World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination
運動·足球

World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination

Round of 32 44%

Round of 16 20%

Group Stage 17%

Quarterfinals 12%

Polymarket
最新

Round of 32 44%

Round of 16 20%

Group Stage 17%

Quarterfinals 12%

Polymarket
最新

Round of 32

$233 交易量

44%

Round of 16

$151 交易量

20%

Group Stage

$634 交易量

17%

Quarterfinals

$735 交易量

12%

Semifinals

$2,418 交易量

7%

Champion

$28 交易量

6%

Final

$233 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Japan enters the 2026 World Cup with a deep, technically skilled squad featuring European-based attackers like Takefusa Kubo and in-form striker Ayase Ueda, bolstered by recent results against Brazil and England. Hajime Moriyasu’s 3-4-2-1 system emphasizes high pressing and tactical flexibility, positioning the Samurai Blue as strong favorites to top Group F ahead of the Netherlands. However, the absence of injured Kaoru Mitoma and a historical pattern of exiting in the round of 16 create uncertainty about sustaining momentum through the expanded knockout bracket. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with probabilities clustered between early elimination and deeper runs depending on group position and first-round opponent.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,433
結束日期
2026-07-19
市場開放時間
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Japan enters the 2026 World Cup with a deep, technically skilled squad featuring European-based attackers like Takefusa Kubo and in-form striker Ayase Ueda, bolstered by recent results against Brazil and England. Hajime Moriyasu’s 3-4-2-1 system emphasizes high pressing and tactical flexibility, positioning the Samurai Blue as strong favorites to top Group F ahead of the Netherlands. However, the absence of injured Kaoru Mitoma and a historical pattern of exiting in the round of 16 create uncertainty about sustaining momentum through the expanded knockout bracket. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with probabilities clustered between early elimination and deeper runs depending on group position and first-round opponent.

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,433
結束日期
2026-07-19
市場開放時間
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.fifa.com/en/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Round of 32" at 44%, followed by "Round of 16" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination" is "Round of 32" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Round of 16" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Japan Stage of Elimination" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.