Spain and France lead implied probabilities for 2026 World Cup semifinal berths around 40-45 percent, reflecting squad depth, recent Euro 2024 and Nations League success, and star attackers like Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappe. Early group-stage results, including the United States' 4-1 win over Paraguay and Brazil's 1-1 draw with Morocco, have produced modest odds shifts while confirming the competitive balance among top European and South American sides. Key upcoming variables include remaining group fixtures, potential injuries during the expanded 48-team schedule, rest advantages heading into the round of 32, and knockout matchups where historical semifinal experience favors established contenders over emerging nations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$369,905 交易量
Haiti
<1%
Panama
1%
Iran
2%
Egypt
3%
Canada
2%
Morocco
13%
Norway
14%
Colombia
15%
Curacao
2%
Japan
10%
Tunisia
2%
Qatar
1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Brazil
27%
Australia
3%
Paraguay
3%
Netherlands
23%
Turkiye
8%
Saudi Arabia
3%
Ecuador
6%
Ghana
2%
Belgium
15%
France
42%
Argentina
36%
Austria
7%
Jordan
2%
Croatia
8%
DR Congo
3%
Germany
22%
Algeria
3%
Portugal
32%
Mexico
12%
Switzerland
8%
Sweden
5%
Spain
45%
South Korea
10%
New Zealand
2%
Ivory Coast
5%
Iraq
3%
Uzbekistan
1%
Scotland
3%
USA
14%
Cape Verde
3%
Senegal
6%
South Africa
1%
Uruguay
8%
Czechia
2%
England
36%
$369,905 交易量
Haiti
<1%
Panama
1%
Iran
2%
Egypt
3%
Canada
2%
Morocco
13%
Norway
14%
Colombia
15%
Curacao
2%
Japan
10%
Tunisia
2%
Qatar
1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Brazil
27%
Australia
3%
Paraguay
3%
Netherlands
23%
Turkiye
8%
Saudi Arabia
3%
Ecuador
6%
Ghana
2%
Belgium
15%
France
42%
Argentina
36%
Austria
7%
Jordan
2%
Croatia
8%
DR Congo
3%
Germany
22%
Algeria
3%
Portugal
32%
Mexico
12%
Switzerland
8%
Sweden
5%
Spain
45%
South Korea
10%
New Zealand
2%
Ivory Coast
5%
Iraq
3%
Uzbekistan
1%
Scotland
3%
USA
14%
Cape Verde
3%
Senegal
6%
South Africa
1%
Uruguay
8%
Czechia
2%
England
36%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Spain and France lead implied probabilities for 2026 World Cup semifinal berths around 40-45 percent, reflecting squad depth, recent Euro 2024 and Nations League success, and star attackers like Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappe. Early group-stage results, including the United States' 4-1 win over Paraguay and Brazil's 1-1 draw with Morocco, have produced modest odds shifts while confirming the competitive balance among top European and South American sides. Key upcoming variables include remaining group fixtures, potential injuries during the expanded 48-team schedule, rest advantages heading into the round of 32, and knockout matchups where historical semifinal experience favors established contenders over emerging nations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions