The 2026 World Cup's expanded 48-team format creates 32 knockout-stage matches, nearly double the prior norm, sharply raising the baseline opportunity for penalty shootouts after extra time. Historical data shows roughly 25% of recent knockout games reach that stage, with 2022 producing a record five such deciders and 35 total shootouts across World Cup history. Stronger teams with proven shootout records, such as Argentina, Germany, and Croatia, could influence outcomes in later rounds, while variables like fatigue from the longer schedule and diverse group-stage qualifiers add unpredictability. No major rule changes have altered extra-time procedures entering the June 11 start date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-07-20
1+ matches
92%
2+ matches
87%
3+ matches
84%
4+ matches
81%
5+ matches
78%
6+ matches
60%
7+ matches
61%
8+ matches
59%
9+ matches
50%
$7 交易量
1+ matches
$6 交易量
92%
2+ matches
$1 交易量
87%
3+ matches
$0 交易量
84%
4+ matches
$0 交易量
81%
5+ matches
$0 交易量
78%
6+ matches
$10 交易量
60%
7+ matches
$0 交易量
61%
8+ matches
$0 交易量
59%
9+ matches
$0 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup's expanded 48-team format creates 32 knockout-stage matches, nearly double the prior norm, sharply raising the baseline opportunity for penalty shootouts after extra time. Historical data shows roughly 25% of recent knockout games reach that stage, with 2022 producing a record five such deciders and 35 total shootouts across World Cup history. Stronger teams with proven shootout records, such as Argentina, Germany, and Croatia, could influence outcomes in later rounds, while variables like fatigue from the longer schedule and diverse group-stage qualifiers add unpredictability. No major rule changes have altered extra-time procedures entering the June 11 start date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
交易量
$7結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 World Cup's expanded 48-team format creates 32 knockout-stage matches, nearly double the prior norm, sharply raising the baseline opportunity for penalty shootouts after extra time. Historical data shows roughly 25% of recent knockout games reach that stage, with 2022 producing a record five such deciders and 35 total shootouts across World Cup history. Stronger teams with proven shootout records, such as Argentina, Germany, and Croatia, could influence outcomes in later rounds, while variables like fatigue from the longer schedule and diverse group-stage qualifiers add unpredictability. No major rule changes have altered extra-time procedures entering the June 11 start date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7結束日期
2026-07-20市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 10:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 World Cup's expanded 48-team format creates 32 knockout-stage matches, nearly double the prior norm, sharply raising the baseline opportunity for penalty shootouts after extra time. Historical data shows roughly 25% of recent knockout games reach that stage, with 2022 producing a record five such deciders and 35 total shootouts across World Cup history. Stronger teams with proven shootout records, such as Argentina, Germany, and Croatia, could influence outcomes in later rounds, while variables like fatigue from the longer schedule and diverse group-stage qualifiers add unpredictability. No major rule changes have altered extra-time procedures entering the June 11 start date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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