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icon for Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？
選舉·紐約市市長

Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？

icon for Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？
選舉·紐約市市長

Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？

12月 31

12月 31

是

1% 機率
Polymarket

$25,120 交易量

是

1% 機率
Polymarket

$25,120 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The elevated trader consensus against Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship revocation before 2027 reflects the narrow statutory grounds for denaturalization, which require documented fraud or material misrepresentation in the 2018 naturalization process rather than post-naturalization political statements. Despite congressional letters from Republican lawmakers requesting DOJ scrutiny over alleged organizational ties, no formal proceedings have advanced, and legal analysts emphasize the absence of supporting evidence or historical precedent for politically driven cases. As a naturalized citizen and sitting New York City mayor, Mamdani remains subject to standard immigration protections, with successful revocations occurring at very low rates even under expanded enforcement priorities. Potential shifts could arise only from newly verified disqualifying conduct emerging in federal review or court challenges, though such developments face substantial procedural and evidentiary hurdles within the tight timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$25,120
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The elevated trader consensus against Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship revocation before 2027 reflects the narrow statutory grounds for denaturalization, which require documented fraud or material misrepresentation in the 2018 naturalization process rather than post-naturalization political statements. Despite congressional letters from Republican lawmakers requesting DOJ scrutiny over alleged organizational ties, no formal proceedings have advanced, and legal analysts emphasize the absence of supporting evidence or historical precedent for politically driven cases. As a naturalized citizen and sitting New York City mayor, Mamdani remains subject to standard immigration protections, with successful revocations occurring at very low rates even under expanded enforcement priorities. Potential shifts could arise only from newly verified disqualifying conduct emerging in federal review or court challenges, though such developments face substantial procedural and evidentiary hurdles within the tight timeline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$25,120
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zohran Mamdani 公民身份會在 2027 年前被撤銷嗎？" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？" has generated $25.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？" is "Zohran Mamdani 公民身份會在 2027 年前被撤銷嗎？" at just 1%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.