Skip to main content

預測與賠率

·
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

42%

<4m sq km

$57.9K 交易量

$14.2K Liq.

6

Ends 3 個月內

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

11%

September 30

$5M 交易量

$195K Liq.

139

Ends 大約 17 小時內

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

26%

December 31

$658K 交易量

$237K Liq.

27

Ends 6 個月內

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

7%

United States

$1M 交易量

$198K Liq.

Ends 大約 17 小時內

US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

42%

December 31

$7M 交易量

$89.8K Liq.

89

Ends 6 個月內

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

21%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$91.8K Liq.

57

Ends 6 個月內

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

34%

Los Angeles Angels

$5.5K 交易量

$175K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$2M 交易量

$82.0K Liq.

18

Ends 6 個月內

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

<1%

$145K 交易量

$16.7K Liq.

7

Ends 大約 17 小時內

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

41%

<5

$478K 交易量

$57.9K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

41%

Los Angeles Angels

$404 交易量

$25.6K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

18%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$25.3K Liq.

167

Ends 6 個月內

US strike on Colombia by...?

US strike on Colombia by...?

23%

December 31

$2M 交易量

$21.2K Liq.

43

Ends 5 個月前

Trump goes to space in 2026?

Trump goes to space in 2026?

3%

$34.0K 交易量

$97.2K Liq.

7

Ends 6 個月內

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

56%

Los Angeles Angels

$5 交易量

$9.4K Liq.

Ends 11 天內

Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury

Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury

33%

Seattle Storm

$8 交易量

$10.2K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm

PortlandFire vs. Seattle Storm

54%

PortlandFire

$2 交易量

$6.0K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners - First 5 Innings Winner

Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners - First 5 Innings Winner

50%

Yes

$5 交易量

$2.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 19 小時內

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake - More Markets

Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake - More Markets

42%

Seattle Sounders FC

$2.1K 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

Ends 3 個月前

Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks

66%

Los Angeles Sparks

$5 交易量

$6.1K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 海.

Polymarket currently hosts 27 active markets for 海 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $24.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump goes to space in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US military action against Cuba by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US military action against Cuba by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 42% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 海 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.