France and Spain stand out among traders as the leading contenders to reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final, driven by their elite squad depth, recent international success, and favorable group-stage positioning. Spain enters as European champions with an unbeaten streak in competitive fixtures since 2024 and standout performers like Lamine Yamal expected to recover from a recent hamstring issue in time for the expanded 48-team tournament. France maintains strong momentum behind Kylian Mbappé and a balanced roster that has reached multiple deep knockout stages in prior cycles. England, Brazil, and Argentina follow closely in market pricing, bolstered by consistent form and historical pedigree, though schedule congestion, travel across North American venues, and potential early-round upsets from emerging sides like Portugal or the Netherlands could shift implied probabilities as the June kickoff approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Spain
32%
France
31%
England
20%
Germany
16%
Brazil
23%
Argentina
22%
Portugal
16%
Netherlands
14%
Austria
13%
USA
11%
Tunisia
8%
Belgium
8%
Mexico
7%
Scotland
7%
Turkiye
7%
Croatia
7%
Switzerland
6%
Colombia
6%
Norway
6%
DR Congo
5%
Ecuador
5%
Sweden
5%
Senegal
5%
Cape Verde
4%
Paraguay
4%
Japan
3%
Morocco
3%
Uruguay
3%
Algeria
3%
Haiti
3%
Egypt
3%
Australia
3%
Saudi Arabia
3%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
3%
Czechia
3%
South Korea
2%
Panama
2%
South Africa
2%
Uzbekistan
2%
Curacao
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Canada
11%
Qatar
1%
Iraq
1%
Jordan
8%
Ghana
7%
Iran
1%
New Zealand
1%
$6,381 交易量
Spain
32%
France
31%
England
20%
Germany
16%
Brazil
23%
Argentina
22%
Portugal
16%
Netherlands
14%
Austria
13%
USA
11%
Tunisia
8%
Belgium
8%
Mexico
7%
Scotland
7%
Turkiye
7%
Croatia
7%
Switzerland
6%
Colombia
6%
Norway
6%
DR Congo
5%
Ecuador
5%
Sweden
5%
Senegal
5%
Cape Verde
4%
Paraguay
4%
Japan
3%
Morocco
3%
Uruguay
3%
Algeria
3%
Haiti
3%
Egypt
3%
Australia
3%
Saudi Arabia
3%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
3%
Czechia
3%
South Korea
2%
Panama
2%
South Africa
2%
Uzbekistan
2%
Curacao
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Canada
11%
Qatar
1%
Iraq
1%
Jordan
8%
Ghana
7%
Iran
1%
New Zealand
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...France and Spain stand out among traders as the leading contenders to reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final, driven by their elite squad depth, recent international success, and favorable group-stage positioning. Spain enters as European champions with an unbeaten streak in competitive fixtures since 2024 and standout performers like Lamine Yamal expected to recover from a recent hamstring issue in time for the expanded 48-team tournament. France maintains strong momentum behind Kylian Mbappé and a balanced roster that has reached multiple deep knockout stages in prior cycles. England, Brazil, and Argentina follow closely in market pricing, bolstered by consistent form and historical pedigree, though schedule congestion, travel across North American venues, and potential early-round upsets from emerging sides like Portugal or the Netherlands could shift implied probabilities as the June kickoff approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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