The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format places all 48 qualified nations into 12 groups of four, with the top two from each group advancing automatically to the Round of 32 while the eight best third-placed sides also progress based on points, goal difference, and FIFA tie-breaker rules. Qualification wrapped in March 2026 after UEFA and intercontinental playoffs, locking in the full field and groups with no further changes possible. Group-stage matches begin in June, so recent form from final qualifier campaigns, squad depth, and historical head-to-head results against group opponents will directly influence advancement probabilities. Strong recent results from sides like the European playoff qualifiers or CONMEBOL teams highlight momentum entering the tournament.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,460 交易量
Spain
96%
Germany
95%
Portugal
94%
Belgium
93%
Argentina
93%
England
93%
Brazil
92%
Switzerland
91%
France
91%
Uruguay
88%
Netherlands
87%
Morocco
86%
Austria
88%
Mexico
84%
Ecuador
82%
Colombia
82%
USA
81%
Norway
81%
Japan
79%
Canada
75%
Croatia
77%
Turkiye
74%
Paraguay
63%
Scotland
72%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
69%
Algeria
69%
Czechia
67%
Ivory Coast
67%
Egypt
65%
Senegal
65%
South Korea
64%
Sweden
62%
Saudi Arabia
60%
Ghana
54%
DR Congo
53%
Australia
43%
Iran
45%
Tunisia
44%
South Africa
34%
Panama
30%
Cape Verde
28%
New Zealand
26%
Qatar
25%
Jordan
21%
Haiti
12%
Curacao
13%
Iraq
10%
Uzbekistan
45%
$11,460 交易量
Spain
96%
Germany
95%
Portugal
94%
Belgium
93%
Argentina
93%
England
93%
Brazil
92%
Switzerland
91%
France
91%
Uruguay
88%
Netherlands
87%
Morocco
86%
Austria
88%
Mexico
84%
Ecuador
82%
Colombia
82%
USA
81%
Norway
81%
Japan
79%
Canada
75%
Croatia
77%
Turkiye
74%
Paraguay
63%
Scotland
72%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
69%
Algeria
69%
Czechia
67%
Ivory Coast
67%
Egypt
65%
Senegal
65%
South Korea
64%
Sweden
62%
Saudi Arabia
60%
Ghana
54%
DR Congo
53%
Australia
43%
Iran
45%
Tunisia
44%
South Africa
34%
Panama
30%
Cape Verde
28%
New Zealand
26%
Qatar
25%
Jordan
21%
Haiti
12%
Curacao
13%
Iraq
10%
Uzbekistan
45%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format places all 48 qualified nations into 12 groups of four, with the top two from each group advancing automatically to the Round of 32 while the eight best third-placed sides also progress based on points, goal difference, and FIFA tie-breaker rules. Qualification wrapped in March 2026 after UEFA and intercontinental playoffs, locking in the full field and groups with no further changes possible. Group-stage matches begin in June, so recent form from final qualifier campaigns, squad depth, and historical head-to-head results against group opponents will directly influence advancement probabilities. Strong recent results from sides like the European playoff qualifiers or CONMEBOL teams highlight momentum entering the tournament.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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