France's overwhelming squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and a world-class supporting cast including Ousmane Dembélé and Eduardo Camavinga, drives their 70.5% implied probability as Group I favorites, reinforced by unbeaten qualification and vibrant training camps showing no major injuries to stars as of early May. Norway holds steady at 21.5% on Erling Haaland's prolific form (16 qualifying goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as credible challengers in this group of death. Senegal slips to 8.5% amid recent fitness concerns for Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Idrissa Gueye, while Iraq's historic qualification pales at 1.1% against superior Elo ratings and experience. Top two plus best third advance to the round of 32 starting June 16.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于法国 71%
挪威 22%
塞内加尔 9%
伊拉克 1.1%
$134,400 交易量
$134,400 交易量
2026-06-27
法国
71%
挪威
22%
塞内加尔
9%
伊拉克
1%
法国 71%
挪威 22%
塞内加尔 9%
伊拉克 1.1%
$134,400 交易量
$134,400 交易量
2026-06-27
法国
$58,732 交易量
71%
挪威
$15,002 交易量
22%
塞内加尔
$17,350 交易量
9%
伊拉克
$43,315 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's overwhelming squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and a world-class supporting cast including Ousmane Dembélé and Eduardo Camavinga, drives their 70.5% implied probability as Group I favorites, reinforced by unbeaten qualification and vibrant training camps showing no major injuries to stars as of early May. Norway holds steady at 21.5% on Erling Haaland's prolific form (16 qualifying goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as credible challengers in this group of death. Senegal slips to 8.5% amid recent fitness concerns for Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Idrissa Gueye, while Iraq's historic qualification pales at 1.1% against superior Elo ratings and experience. Top two plus best third advance to the round of 32 starting June 16.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
交易量
$134,400结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's overwhelming squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and a world-class supporting cast including Ousmane Dembélé and Eduardo Camavinga, drives their 70.5% implied probability as Group I favorites, reinforced by unbeaten qualification and vibrant training camps showing no major injuries to stars as of early May. Norway holds steady at 21.5% on Erling Haaland's prolific form (16 qualifying goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as credible challengers in this group of death. Senegal slips to 8.5% amid recent fitness concerns for Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Idrissa Gueye, while Iraq's historic qualification pales at 1.1% against superior Elo ratings and experience. Top two plus best third advance to the round of 32 starting June 16.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$134,400结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's overwhelming squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and a world-class supporting cast including Ousmane Dembélé and Eduardo Camavinga, drives their 70.5% implied probability as Group I favorites, reinforced by unbeaten qualification and vibrant training camps showing no major injuries to stars as of early May. Norway holds steady at 21.5% on Erling Haaland's prolific form (16 qualifying goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as credible challengers in this group of death. Senegal slips to 8.5% amid recent fitness concerns for Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Idrissa Gueye, while Iraq's historic qualification pales at 1.1% against superior Elo ratings and experience. Top two plus best third advance to the round of 32 starting June 16.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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