Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 40% implied probability due to his proven hard-court dominance, including multiple prior titles on the surface and consistent deep runs in recent majors, though his May French Open second-round exit from cramping and illness introduces some uncertainty ahead of the hard-court swing. Carlos Alcaraz sits second at 25% on the strength of his all-surface versatility and repeated Grand Slam final appearances against Sinner, positioning the pair as the clear frontrunners in trader consensus. Novak Djokovic at 5.5% reflects his enduring big-match experience and recent semifinal showings, tempered by age-related challenges in five-set battles against the top two. Lower-priced contenders like Alexander Zverev, Daniil Medvedev, and Ben Shelton trail further due to inconsistent recent form, prior injury setbacks, and the established gap to the Sincaraz duopoly on outdoor hard courts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Jannik Sinner 43%
Carlos Alcaraz 22%
Alexander Zverev 5.0%
Novak Djokovic 5.0%
$2,749,130 交易量
$2,749,130 交易量
Jannik Sinner
43%
Carlos Alcaraz
22%
Alexander Zverev
5%
Novak Djokovic
5%
Taylor Fritz
4%
Ben Shelton
3%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
Joao Fonseca
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Jack Draper
2%
Felix Auger Aliassime
2%
Arthur Fils
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Holger Rune
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Jannik Sinner 43%
Carlos Alcaraz 22%
Alexander Zverev 5.0%
Novak Djokovic 5.0%
$2,749,130 交易量
$2,749,130 交易量
Jannik Sinner
43%
Carlos Alcaraz
22%
Alexander Zverev
5%
Novak Djokovic
5%
Taylor Fritz
4%
Ben Shelton
3%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
Joao Fonseca
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Jack Draper
2%
Felix Auger Aliassime
2%
Arthur Fils
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Holger Rune
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 40% implied probability due to his proven hard-court dominance, including multiple prior titles on the surface and consistent deep runs in recent majors, though his May French Open second-round exit from cramping and illness introduces some uncertainty ahead of the hard-court swing. Carlos Alcaraz sits second at 25% on the strength of his all-surface versatility and repeated Grand Slam final appearances against Sinner, positioning the pair as the clear frontrunners in trader consensus. Novak Djokovic at 5.5% reflects his enduring big-match experience and recent semifinal showings, tempered by age-related challenges in five-set battles against the top two. Lower-priced contenders like Alexander Zverev, Daniil Medvedev, and Ben Shelton trail further due to inconsistent recent form, prior injury setbacks, and the established gap to the Sincaraz duopoly on outdoor hard courts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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