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icon for 2026年美国职棒大联盟本垒打德比:最长本垒打

2026年美国职棒大联盟本垒打德比:最长本垒打

icon for 2026年美国职棒大联盟本垒打德比:最长本垒打

2026年美国职棒大联盟本垒打德比:最长本垒打

$1,818 交易量

2026-07-13
Polymarket

$1,818 交易量

Polymarket

460+ Feet

$5 交易量

96%

480+ Feet

$45 交易量

-

500+ Feet

$323 交易量

51%

510+ Feet

$214 交易量

52%

520+ Feet

$1,331 交易量

15%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby field features eight power hitters competing tonight at Citizens Bank Park, where the longest single home run determines the market outcome. Pre-event analysis centers on raw exit velocity, launch conditions, and individual max distances tracked this season, with Jac Caglianone posting the field's highest average exit velo on fly balls and longest average homer distance around 414 feet. Junior Caminero owns a 463-foot regular-season blast, while Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper bring proven track records of tape-measure shots in prior All-Star settings. Pitching matchups, including familiar bullpen catchers or coaches throwing batting practice, along with the ballpark's dimensions and potential weather, shape expectations for carry. Recent form shows hot streaks for several participants, but distance remains highly variable given the exhibition format and tiebreaker rules that advance the longest homer in case of first-round ties. Trader consensus reflects the closely contested nature among the top power profiles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,818
结束日期
2026-07-13
市场开放时间
Jul 13, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 MLB Home Run Derby field features eight power hitters competing tonight at Citizens Bank Park, where the longest single home run determines the market outcome. Pre-event analysis centers on raw exit velocity, launch conditions, and individual max distances tracked this season, with Jac Caglianone posting the field's highest average exit velo on fly balls and longest average homer distance around 414 feet. Junior Caminero owns a 463-foot regular-season blast, while Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper bring proven track records of tape-measure shots in prior All-Star settings. Pitching matchups, including familiar bullpen catchers or coaches throwing batting practice, along with the ballpark's dimensions and potential weather, shape expectations for carry. Recent form shows hot streaks for several participants, but distance remains highly variable given the exhibition format and tiebreaker rules that advance the longest homer in case of first-round ties. Trader consensus reflects the closely contested nature among the top power profiles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,818
结束日期
2026-07-13
市场开放时间
Jul 13, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the distance for the longest home run hit equals or exceeds the listed number at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no clear and defined single round home run total within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source will be official information from the MLB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年美国职棒大联盟本垒打德比:最长本垒打"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"460+ Feet",概率为 96%,其次是"510+ Feet",概率为 52%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 96¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 96%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"2026年美国职棒大联盟本垒打德比:最长本垒打"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jul 13, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"2026年美国职棒大联盟本垒打德比:最长本垒打"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年美国职棒大联盟本垒打德比:最长本垒打"的当前领先者是"460+ Feet",概率为 96%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 96%。紧随其后的结果是"510+ Feet",概率为 52%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年美国职棒大联盟本垒打德比:最长本垒打"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。