**Willson Contreras and Ben Rice lead trader consensus at 73% implied probability each, driven by their standout 2026 power production and recent All-Star nods.** Contreras has posted a .287/.381/.545 slash line with 20 home runs for the Red Sox through early July, while Rice has belted 26 homers for the Yankees amid elite batted-ball metrics. Field announcements over the past week, including Junior Caminero, Jac Caglianone, Jordan Walker, and hometown Phillies star Bryce Harper at Citizens Bank Park, have introduced depth that keeps the market competitive. Caminero’s prior Derby experience and Walker’s breakout add realistic upset paths, resulting in bunched probabilities around the 49-50% range for several entrants and reflecting the format’s volatility across three rounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Willson Contreras 50%
Ben Rice 50%
Bryce Harper 50%
Jordan Walker 50%
Willson Contreras
50%
Ben Rice
50%
Bryce Harper
50%
Jordan Walker
50%
Junior Caminero
16%
Jac Caglianone
49%
Willson Contreras 50%
Ben Rice 50%
Bryce Harper 50%
Jordan Walker 50%
Willson Contreras
50%
Ben Rice
50%
Bryce Harper
50%
Jordan Walker
50%
Junior Caminero
16%
Jac Caglianone
49%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.
市场开放时间： Jul 10, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby per the rules set by the competition (e.g., disqualification, player withdraws), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed past July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the MLB.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Willson Contreras and Ben Rice lead trader consensus at 73% implied probability each, driven by their standout 2026 power production and recent All-Star nods.** Contreras has posted a .287/.381/.545 slash line with 20 home runs for the Red Sox through early July, while Rice has belted 26 homers for the Yankees amid elite batted-ball metrics. Field announcements over the past week, including Junior Caminero, Jac Caglianone, Jordan Walker, and hometown Phillies star Bryce Harper at Citizens Bank Park, have introduced depth that keeps the market competitive. Caminero’s prior Derby experience and Walker’s breakout add realistic upset paths, resulting in bunched probabilities around the 49-50% range for several entrants and reflecting the format’s volatility across three rounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题